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GOVT-CONTRACT ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

RTX

RTX Corp
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonmonths Processed14d 21h ago
Large government contract award ($500M+)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor future task orders under this IDIQ to gauge actual revenue flow. The sole-source nature and long duration suggest stable, multi-year program revenue, but the tiny initial obligation means no material near-term impact.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
RTX ▲ +2.75% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +2.75% · α vs SPY +2.30% · entry $186.47 → $191.60
Next anchor: T+20d in 15d
Latest observation: T+7 +2.29% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.26%
call +0.26% · α -0.03%
$186.95
settled 12d ago
T+5d
+2.75%
call +2.75% · α +2.30%
$191.60
settled 6d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 15d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Raytheon Co., a subsidiary of RTX Corp, received an $8 billion maximum-ceiling IDIQ contract from the Air Force for strategic communications terminals modernization and production restart services. The contract runs through 2036, with only $800,000 initially obligated, making the near-term revenue impact minimal relative to RTX's $98.8 billion annualized revenue.

Key Financial Metrics

Award Amount
$8.0B
Agency
Department of Defense (Air Force)
Contract Type
idiq
Rev Impact
+8.1%

Key Facts

  • Award ceiling of $8,000,000,000 for indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract
  • Cost-plus-fixed-fee structure
  • Sole-source acquisition by Air Force Nuclear Weapons Center
  • Initial obligation of only $800,000 in fiscal 2026 RDT&E funds
  • Performance period through Oct. 12, 2036
  • Work locations: Marlborough, MA and Largo, FL
  • Award represents ~8.1% of RTX's annualized revenue at ceiling, but initial funding is negligible

Financial Impact

Contract ceiling of $8 billion over 10 years; initial obligated amount is $800,000. At ceiling, this is ~8.1% of RTX's $98.8B annualized revenue, but actual near-term revenue is uncertain and likely small.

revenue

Risk Factors

  • Funding risk: only $800K obligated initially; full $8B ceiling may not be reached
  • Execution risk: cost-plus-fixed-fee contracts carry margin risk if costs overrun
  • Political/sequestration risk: future defense budgets could reduce task order volumes

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 federal contract record from official U.S. government contract data.

DocumentAccession Number
GOVT-CONTRACT Data (Synthetic)contract-FA229327DB001
30 reports for RTX
Performance horizon
78% Hit rate @ T+5 7 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 9 best @ T+20▲ +4.10%Sep 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RTX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$191.01awaiting T+5—$194.60 (+1.88%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$194.71awaiting T+5—$194.60 (−0.06%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$193.34 $196.76▲ +1.77%▲ +1.74%$194.60 (+0.65%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$193.34 $194.60▲ +0.65%▲ +0.57%$194.60 (+0.65%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$192.11 $197.48▲ +2.80%▲ +2.94%$194.60 (+1.30%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$186.47 $191.60▲ +2.75%▲ +2.30%$194.60 (+4.36%)
Oct 12, 2026
15d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$186.66 $192.11▲ +2.92%▲ +4.41%$194.60 (+4.25%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$184.68 $185.97▲ +0.70%▼ −0.46%$194.60 (+5.37%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$186.94 $183.29▼ −1.95%▼ −3.90%$194.60 (+4.10%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$186.94 $183.29▼ −1.95%▼ −3.90%$194.60 (+4.10%)
Showing 10 of 30

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (15h 46m)

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Report published Oct 13, 2026