SecBot SecBot
144 ·Filed Jul 2, 2026

RSKD

RISKIFIED LTD.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001976408-26-000611
Form 144 — notice of proposed sale of securities
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The 10b5-1 plan provides legal cover but the relentless pace of Qumra's sales (26 batches in 6 weeks) suggests a multi-month venture exit process. Monitor the remaining 9.0M-share position; if Qumra continues at ~0.5-1M shares/month, there are months of overhang ahead. The stock's 67% bullish analyst consensus but -1.01% avg net alpha in the filing-report segment suggests near-term negative drift is the historical norm even without selling pressure. Consider watching for any Qumra ongoing Form 144s to gauge pace of the remaining position.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RSKD ▲ +54.19% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -54.19% · α vs SPY -51.18% · entry $5.13 → $7.91
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 2, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.34%
call -2.34% · α -1.47%
$5.25
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+2.53%
call -2.53% · α -1.60%
$5.26
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+2.14%
call -2.14% · α -2.56%
$5.24
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+54.19%
call -54.19% · α -51.18%
$7.91
settled 4w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Qumra Capital Israel I Ltd. (a director-affiliated venture fund) filed Form 144 to sell 1,000,000 RSKD Class A ordinary shares (~$5.04M at $5.04 reference). The block represents ~0.5% of the $744M market cap and is being sold under a Rule 10b5-1 plan adopted March 17, 2026, which already supported 26 prior sale tranches from May 21 through June 30. The 10b5-1 plan structure neuters inside-information concerns, but the pace — 26 batches in ~6 weeks, cumulatively ~2.6M shares already sold (income >$13M) — signals Qumra is systematically reducing its position after the IPO lockup era. However, the scheduled-10b5-1 nature and the selling entity (venture fund, not founder/CEO) temper the bearish read; this is a gradual venture-exit unwind, not a panic.

Key Facts

  • Qumra Capital Israel I Ltd. (director-affiliated) filed Form 144 to sell 1,000,000 Class A ordinary shares at a proposed aggregate value of $5,040,000.
  • The proposed sale is under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted on March 17, 2026.
  • Qumra has already executed 26 sale tranches since May 21, 2026, totaling ~2.5M shares sold before this notice.
  • Recent insider activity (30d) shows 10 sells aggregating $7.2M across all insiders.
  • The block represents ~0.5% of RSKD's $744M market cap.
  • Total shares not yet sold per the filing (beneficially owned) is 9,008,475, so this and prior sales reduce that position.

Financial Impact

Proposed sale of $5.04M worth of RSKD shares; Qumra has already sold roughly $12-13M since late May under the same plan.

floatinsider ownership

Risk Factors

  • Qumra may continue selling several million more shares over coming quarters under the existing plan, creating persistent supply overhang.
  • The aggregate recent insider selling ($7.2M in 30d) plus this $5M notice amplifies distribution signal beyond just Qumra.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Business Services, NEC
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
144 Filing (Primary)0001976408-26-000611
Document: 0001976408-26-000611-index.html0001976408-26-000611
Document: 0001976408-26-000611.txt0001976408-26-000611
39 reports for RSKD
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+1 15 of 21 directional calls Went positive at some point 16 of 21 best @ T+60▲ +27.89%Jun 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RSKD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.22 $8.34▲ +1.46%▲ +1.04%$8.98 (+9.25%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.22 $8.34▲ +1.46%▲ +1.04%$8.98 (+9.25%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$6.21 $6.35▼ −2.25%▼ −0.70%$8.98 (−44.61%)
Sep 16, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$6.31 $6.21▲ +1.58%▲ +1.71%$8.98 (−42.31%)
Sep 8, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$5.92 $5.97▼ −0.84%▼ −1.44%$8.98 (−51.69%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.16 $5.92▼ −3.90%▼ −3.43%$8.98 (+45.78%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.51 $6.16▼ −5.38%▼ −4.83%$8.98 (+37.94%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.29 $6.19▲ +1.59%▲ +0.90%$8.98 (−42.77%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$6.12 $6.31▼ −3.10%▼ −3.33%$8.98 (−46.73%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$5.95 $5.94▲ +0.17%▲ +0.49%$8.98 (−50.92%)
Showing 10 of 39

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 1m)

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Report published Jul 2, 2026