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8-K ·Filed May 7, 2026

RRX

REGAL REXNORD CORP
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0000082811-26-000141
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The earnings miss and weak cash flow are negative signals, but strong order momentum and reaffirmed guidance may limit downside. Watch the conference call for color on tariff impacts, order conversion timing, and the CEO transition. Short-term bearish bias, but the stock could recover if management convinces the market the miss is transitory.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RRX ▲ +0.24% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -0.24% · α vs SPY +1.87% · entry $204.73 → $205.23
Entry = T+0 close
May 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.65%
call -4.65% · α -3.82%
$214.25
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+0.48%
call -0.48% · α +1.02%
$205.72
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+5.15%
call -5.15% · α -2.01%
$215.27
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+0.24%
call -0.24% · α +1.87%
$205.23
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Regal Rexnord reported Q1 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $2.17, missing consensus estimates of $2.67 by 18.7%, while revenue of $1.479B also fell short of the $1.55B consensus. Despite positive order growth (up 8.5% YoY) and reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $10.20-$11.00, the earnings miss and sharp decline in operating cash flow ($14.9M vs $102.3M YoY) are likely to weigh on the stock.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.17
est $2.67 · -18.7%
Revenue
$1.5B
est $1.6B · -4.6% · +4.3% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Free Cash Flow
-$2.5M
Gross Margin
37.2%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $2.17 missed consensus of $2.67 by 18.7%
  • Revenue of $1,479.1M grew 4.3% YoY but missed consensus of $1.55B
  • Operating cash flow plunged to $14.9M from $102.3M in the prior-year quarter; free cash flow was -$2.5M
  • Order growth remained strong: daily orders up 8.5% YoY, AMC orders up over 34%
  • 2026 adjusted EPS guidance reaffirmed at $10.20-$11.00
  • Announced Aamir Paul as next CEO, succeeding Louis Pinkham

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS miss of $0.50 per share vs consensus; revenue miss of ~$71M

epsrevenuecashflow

Risk Factors

  • Tariff headwinds pressuring margins
  • Continued weakness in residential HVAC markets
  • Elevated debt leverage (3.3x net debt/EBITDA)
  • Potential negative sentiment from the CEO transition

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC
Analyst Consensus
87% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000082811-26-000141
Document: 0000082811-26-000141-index-headers.html0000082811-26-000141
Document: 0000082811-26-000141-index.html0000082811-26-000141
Document: 0000082811-26-000141.txt0000082811-26-000141
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000082811-26-000141
17 reports for RRX
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +22.90%Jun 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$148.71awaiting T+60—$158.32 (+6.46%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$166.36awaiting T+60—$158.32 (−4.83%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$150.73awaiting T+60—$158.32 (+5.04%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$183.24awaiting T+60—$158.32 (−13.60%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$183.24awaiting T+60—$158.32 (−13.60%)
Jul 28, 2026
13w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$202.93 $158.78▼ −21.76%▼ −26.11%$158.32 (−21.98%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$214.03 $156.13▼ −27.05%▼ −31.61%$158.32 (−26.03%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$214.79 $156.13▼ −27.31%▼ −30.57%$158.32 (−26.29%)
Jul 10, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$214.90 $161.26▼ −24.96%▼ −27.59%$158.32 (−26.33%)
Jun 20, 2026
18w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$231.28 $152.45▼ −34.08%▼ −35.83%$158.32 (−31.55%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (17h 19m)

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Report published May 7, 2026