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EFFECT ·Filed May 15, 2026

RMIX

Suncrete, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001660
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The massive registered resale (70.1% of fully diluted shares) creates substantial overhang risk. Monitor for any selling holder distributions or block trades in the coming days. The stock's recent strength (closing at $15.40 vs. $11.50 warrant strike) increases the likelihood of cashless warrant exercises, which would add further dilution without cash proceeds.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RMIX ▲ +9.69% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -9.69% · α vs SPY -5.18% · entry $17.64 → $19.35
Entry = T+0 close
May 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.57%
call -0.57% · α -0.63%
$17.74
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-8.96%
call +8.96% · α +9.92%
$16.06
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+24.04%
call -24.04% · α -21.92%
$21.88
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+9.69%
call -9.69% · α -5.18%
$19.35
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Suncrete's S-1 registration statement (File No. 333-295732) became effective on May 14, 2026, enabling selling holders to resell up to 52,299,704 shares of Class A common stock (including shares underlying Class B common stock, warrants, pre-funded warrants, Series A preferred stock, and HoldCo rollover securities) and 473,800 warrants. The registered shares represent approximately 70.1% of total outstanding common stock on a fully diluted basis, creating significant potential overhang. The company will not receive proceeds from selling holder sales but may receive cash from warrant exercises if the stock price exceeds $11.50 per share.

Key Facts

  • EFFECT notice for S-1 registration statement (File No. 333-295732) effective May 14, 2026
  • Up to 52,299,704 shares of Class A common stock and 473,800 warrants registered for resale by selling holders
  • Registered shares represent ~70.1% of total outstanding common stock on a fully diluted basis as of May 5, 2026
  • Company will not receive any proceeds from selling holder sales
  • Company may receive cash proceeds from warrant exercises at $11.50 per share; stock closed at $15.40 on May 7, 2026
  • Warrants may be exercised on a cashless basis under certain circumstances, reducing potential cash proceeds

Financial Impact

Up to 52.3M shares registered for resale, representing ~70.1% of fully diluted shares outstanding. Potential dilution overhang of approximately $806M at the May 7 closing price of $15.40.

dilutionstock pricemarket capitalization

Risk Factors

  • Massive share overhang from registered resale could depress stock price
  • Cashless warrant exercises would add dilution without corresponding cash proceeds
  • Selling holders acquired shares at various prices below current trading price, incentivizing sales
  • Company receives no proceeds from selling holder sales, limiting capital benefit

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Concrete Products, Except Block & Brick

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001660
Document: 9999999995-26-001660-index.html9999999995-26-001660
Document: 9999999995-26-001660.txt9999999995-26-001660
14 reports for RMIX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +94.59%Apr 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RMIX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.98awaiting T+5—$9.62 (+7.13%)
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$10.13 $8.98▼ −11.35%▼ −10.92%$9.62 (−5.03%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.19 $9.45▼ −7.26%▼ −7.72%$9.62 (−5.59%)
Oct 9, 2026
18d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$10.94 $9.80▲ +10.42%▲ +8.93%$9.62 (+12.07%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$18.47 $17.54▼ −5.04%▼ −3.67%$9.62 (−47.92%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.47 $17.54▲ +5.04%▲ +3.67%$9.62 (+47.92%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$22.76 $22.92▲ +0.70%▲ +2.09%$9.62 (−57.73%)
May 26, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.29 $18.02▲ +10.62%▲ +10.15%$9.62 (−40.95%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$17.64 $16.06▼ −8.96%▼ −9.92%$9.62 (−45.46%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$17.64 $16.06▲ +8.96%▲ +9.92%$9.62 (+45.46%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (16h 37m)

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Report published May 15, 2026