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8-K ·Filed Jul 28, 2026

RITM

Rithm Capital Corp.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001556593-26-000026
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong EAD beat and sequential growth confirm the platform's earnings power, but the persistent GAAP/MSR volatility creates a two-tiered earnings picture. Traders should watch the earnings call for guidance on MSR hedging costs and asset management fee trajectory; the stock may re-rate if the market focuses on the EAD beat over the GAAP miss.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RITM ▼ -12.58% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -12.58% · α vs SPY -16.93% · entry $9.78 → $8.55
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.15%
call +2.15% · α +3.69%
$9.99
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+2.86%
call +2.86% · α +0.59%
$10.06
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+3.99%
call +3.99% · α +0.61%
$10.17
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-12.58%
call -12.58% · α -16.93%
$8.55
settled 5d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Rithm Capital reported Q2 2026 Earnings Available for Distribution (EAD) of $0.60 per diluted share, a 19.7% beat vs. the $0.50 consensus, driven by record origination at Genesis Capital, strong asset management revenue growth, and a 22% annualized operating ROE at Newrez. GAAP net income was only $0.04 per share due to a $392.9M MSR mark-to-market loss, but the core EAD metric—what the Street and dividend coverage focus on—showed a significant sequential improvement from $0.51 in Q1 2026. The strong operating performance across all pillars supports the $0.25 quarterly dividend and signals continued momentum in the asset management and lending businesses, though the large MSR hedging volatility remains a persistent headwind to GAAP earnings.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.60
est $0.50 · +19.7%
Revenue
$1.3B
est $1.4B · -9.7%
Rating
beat

Key Facts

  • Earnings Available for Distribution (EAD) of $0.60 per diluted share beat consensus of $0.50 by 19.7%
  • EAD of $338.9M was up 17.0% sequentially from $289.6M in Q1 2026
  • Asset management AUM reached $61B, up from $59B in Q1, with revenue up 34% QoQ to $141M
  • Genesis Capital origination volume of $1.9B was a record, up 52% YoY
  • Newrez posted a 22% annualized operating ROE on $5.7B of segment equity
  • GAAP net income was only $20.2M ($0.04/diluted share) due to a $392.9M MSR mark-to-market loss, net of hedges
  • Common dividend maintained at $0.25 per share; book value per common share was $12.33

Financial Impact

EAD per share of $0.60 beat consensus by $0.10 (19.7%), representing a $338.9M quarterly run-rate that covers the $139.6M common dividend 2.4x

earningsAvailableForDistributionassetManagementRevenueoriginationVolumeoperatingROE

Risk Factors

  • Large MSR mark-to-market losses ($392.9M in Q2) continue to depress GAAP earnings and could signal hedging inefficiency
  • Elevated interest rate environment may pressure mortgage origination volumes and servicing values
  • Commercial real estate segment posted a pre-tax loss of $34.8M, indicating ongoing stress in office properties

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
94% bullish (17 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001556593-26-000026
Document: 0001556593-26-000026-index.html0001556593-26-000026
Document: 0001556593-26-000026.txt0001556593-26-000026
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001556593-26-000026
6 reports for RITM
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for RITM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
2d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.27awaiting T+60—$9.39 (+1.35%)
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.77awaiting T+60—$9.39 (+7.07%)
Jul 28, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.78 $8.55▼ −12.58%▼ −16.93%$9.39 (−3.99%)
May 12, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$24.89awaiting T+60—$9.39 (−62.27%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.90awaiting T+60—$9.39 (−62.29%)
Apr 28, 2026
25w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$24.71 $25.19▲ +1.93%▼ −2.06%$9.39 (−62.00%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 5h 43m

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Report published Jul 28, 2026