SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Jun 15, 2026

RILY

BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed4mo ago SEC0001213900-26-068514
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor SpaceX's share price and lock-up expiration schedule for potential catalysts. The $70.4M net carried interest is a material but contingent asset; actual realization depends on SPV manager's timing and market conditions. Watch for 8-K filings or press releases regarding share sales or distributions.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
RILY ▼ -25.87% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -25.87% · α vs SPY -26.88% · entry $9.16 → $6.79
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.75%
call -1.75% · α -1.15%
$9.00
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+1.86%
call +1.86% · α +3.24%
$9.33
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-21.72%
call -21.72% · α -20.98%
$7.17
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-25.87%
call -25.87% · α -26.88%
$6.79
settled 7w ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

BRC Group Holdings (RILY) disclosed that its subsidiaries hold a carried interest in SPVs that invested in SpaceX, valued at approximately $84.2M gross and $70.4M net based on SpaceX's IPO closing price of $160.95. This represents ~20% of RILY's market cap, a material contingent asset that will be monetized as lock-ups expire through 2026.

Key Facts

  • Gross carried interest value: ~$84.2 million
  • Net expected proceeds: ~$70.4 million
  • Based on SpaceX closing price of $160.95 per share on June 12, 2026
  • Each $5 change in SpaceX share price changes net carried interest by ~$2.3 million
  • Lock-up restrictions expire in stages through remainder of 2026
  • Client investments in SPVs totaled ~$233 million between 2018 and 2021

Financial Impact

Net carried interest of ~$70.4M, representing ~20% of RILY's $350M market cap, subject to SpaceX price fluctuations and lock-up restrictions

carried interest valuenet proceeds

Risk Factors

  • SpaceX stock price volatility could materially reduce realized value
  • Lock-up restrictions and manager discretion delay monetization
  • Preliminary estimates subject to change based on expenses, taxes, and adjustments

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Investment Advice

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-068514
Document: ea029472701ex99-1.htm0001213900-26-068514
Document: 0001213900-26-068514-index-headers.html0001213900-26-068514
Document: 0001213900-26-068514-index.html0001213900-26-068514
Document: 0001213900-26-068514.txt0001213900-26-068514
7 reports for RILY
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +24.91%Jun 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RILY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$4.20awaiting T+5—$4.01 (−4.40%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.86 $5.11▲ +5.14%▲ +3.98%$4.01 (−17.39%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$6.13 $4.92▼ −19.74%▼ −18.55%$4.01 (−34.50%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$7.18 $7.45▲ +3.76%▲ +3.36%$4.01 (−44.08%)
Jun 16, 2026
18w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.79 $7.51▲ +14.62%▲ +13.58%$4.01 (+54.32%)
Jun 15, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.16 $9.33▲ +1.86%▲ +3.24%$4.01 (−56.17%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.72 $9.00▼ −3.21%▼ −2.54%$4.01 (+53.96%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 2h 47m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Jun 15, 2026