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8-K ·Filed Sep 30, 2026

RIG

Transocean Ltd.
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed26d 6h ago SEC0001104659-26-112402
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

With the HSR clearance secured, focus shifts to remaining closing conditions including shareholder approvals. Monitor for the definitive proxy statement mailing and any shareholder vote scheduling.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
RIG ▲ +5.73% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +5.73% · α vs SPY +4.42% · entry $5.24 → $5.54
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 +21.65% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.34%
call -1.34% · α -2.08%
$5.17
settled 26d ago
T+5d
+5.73%
call +5.73% · α +4.42%
$5.54
settled 20d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Transocean and Valaris received DOJ Antitrust Division notification that the HSR Act investigation has closed and the waiting period has expired, clearing a key regulatory hurdle for their proposed business combination. The companies anticipate closing the all-stock acquisition in Q4 2026, subject to remaining conditions.

Key Facts

  • DOJ Antitrust Division closed its HSR Act investigation on September 30, 2026
  • HSR waiting period has expired
  • Transocean to acquire all Valaris shares at 15.235 Transocean shares per Valaris share
  • Closing anticipated in Q4 2026, subject to remaining conditions

Financial Impact

Removal of U.S. antitrust risk removes a material closing condition for a transformative all-stock acquisition; deal value not disclosed in this filing

regulatory clearancedeal completion probability

Risk Factors

  • Remaining conditions to closing may not be satisfied or waived
  • Shareholder approval not yet obtained
  • Potential litigation related to the proposed transaction

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-112402
Document: 0001104659-26-112402-index-headers.html0001104659-26-112402
Document: 0001104659-26-112402-index.html0001104659-26-112402
Document: 0001104659-26-112402.txt0001104659-26-112402
27 reports for RIG
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 12 of 18 directional calls Went positive at some point 16 of 18 best @ T+60▲ +15.43%Apr 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RIG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.40awaiting T+5—$6.53 (+1.99%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$5.89 $6.53▲ +10.87%▲ +11.01%$6.53 (+10.87%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$5.89 $6.53▲ +10.87%▲ +11.01%$6.53 (+10.87%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.62 $6.41▲ +14.06%▲ +14.49%$6.53 (+16.19%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.51 $6.08▲ +10.34%▲ +11.36%$6.53 (+18.51%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$5.51 $6.08▲ +10.34%▲ +11.36%$6.53 (+18.51%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
DEFM14A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$5.58 $6.04▲ +8.24%▲ +7.79%$6.53 (+17.03%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.51 $5.62▲ +2.00%▲ +3.96%$6.53 (+18.51%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.24 $5.54▲ +5.73%▲ +4.42%$6.53 (+24.62%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$5.24 $5.54▲ +5.73%▲ +4.42%$6.53 (+24.62%)
Showing 10 of 27

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (9h 55m)

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Report published Sep 30, 2026