SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed May 7, 2026

REFI

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001213900-26-053036
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor the trajectory of credit loss provisions and non-accrual loans in coming quarters, rising reserves could pressure book value and ultimately the dividend. The stable distributable earnings and beat on the street metric may support the stock near term, but the credit quality trend is a watch item. Cannabis rescheduling catalysts are positive but uncertain.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final: all horizons settled through T+60d
REFI ▼ -14.80% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -14.80% · α vs SPY -18.64% · entry $11.62 → $9.90
Entry = T+0 close
May 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.93%
call +2.93% · α +2.10%
$11.96
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-2.41%
call -2.41% · α -3.91%
$11.34
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-4.82%
call -4.82% · α -7.96%
$11.06
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-14.80%
call -14.80% · α -18.64%
$9.90
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

REFI reported Q1 2026 distributable EPS of $0.46, beating the $0.44 consensus by 4.5%, while GAAP net income fell 52% YoY to $4.8M due to a $3.8M credit loss provision. The dividend was maintained at $0.47/quarter, but the CECL reserve more than doubled, indicating deteriorating credit quality in the cannabis loan portfolio. The mixed results reflect stable operating income offset by rising credit costs and a slight decline in book value per share from $14.60 to $14.39.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.46
est $0.44 · +4.5%
Rating
beat

Key Facts

  • Distributable diluted EPS of $0.46 beat consensus of $0.44 (4.5% beat)
  • GAAP net income dropped 52% YoY to $4.8M from $10.0M due to a $3.8M credit loss provision
  • Net interest income was essentially flat YoY at $13.1M
  • Dividend maintained at $0.47 per share, consistent with prior quarters
  • CECL reserve increased from $5.1M to $8.7M quarter-over-quarter
  • Three loans (12% of portfolio?) are on non-accrual status
  • Book value per share declined 1.4% to $14.39
  • Debt/equity ratio rose to 38.4% from 32.0%
  • Portfolio yield declined to 15.8% from 16.3%

Financial Impact

Distributable EPS beat consensus by $0.02, but credit provisions wiped out $3.8M of GAAP earnings; book value declined ~$0.21 per share

net incomecredit provisionsbook value per sharedebt/equity

Risk Factors

  • Further deterioration in loan portfolio credit quality leading to higher provisions
  • Potential dividend cut if distributable earnings decline
  • Rising leverage could lead to equity dilution or covenant issues

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-053036
Document: ea028939301ex99-2.htm0001213900-26-053036
Document: ea0289393-8k_chicago.htm0001213900-26-053036
Document: 0001213900-26-053036-index-headers.html0001213900-26-053036
Document: 0001213900-26-053036-index.html0001213900-26-053036
Document: 0001213900-26-053036.txt0001213900-26-053036
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001213900-26-053036
20 reports for REFI
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 10 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 10 best @ T+20▲ +3.49%Aug 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for REFI, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.01 $10.69▼ −2.91%▼ −4.73%$9.20 (−16.44%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.68 $10.95▲ +2.53%▲ +2.42%$9.20 (−13.86%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.68 $10.95▲ +2.53%▲ +2.42%$9.20 (−13.86%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.68 $10.88▲ +1.87%▲ +1.99%$9.20 (−13.86%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.78 $10.68▼ −0.93%▼ −1.40%$9.20 (−14.66%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.61 $10.67▲ +0.57%▼ −0.55%$9.20 (−13.29%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $10.37▼ −1.32%▼ −1.72%$9.20 (+10.11%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $10.37▼ −1.32%▼ −1.72%$9.20 (+10.11%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $10.37▼ −1.32%▼ −1.72%$9.20 (+10.11%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$10.38awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$9.20 (−11.37%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens in 2h 50m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published May 7, 2026