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8-K ·Filed Jun 18, 2026

REFI

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed4mo ago SEC0001213900-26-069861
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor for filing of the Form N-14 registration statement and joint proxy statement/prospectus, which will contain detailed voting instructions and timeline. The merger is expected to close in Q4 2026; key catalysts are stockholder votes and regulatory approvals. The $25 million share repurchase program consideration post-closing adds potential downside support for LIEN shares.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final: all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
REFI ▼ -5.41% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -5.41% · α vs SPY -7.31% · entry $11.45 → $10.83
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 18, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.89%
call -4.89% · α -4.58%
$10.89
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-3.67%
call -3.67% · α -2.00%
$11.03
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-5.24%
call -5.24% · α -5.77%
$10.85
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-5.41%
call -5.41% · α -7.31%
$10.83
settled 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

REFI (Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance) entered into a definitive merger agreement with LIEN (Chicago Atlantic BDC) under which REFI will elect to be regulated as a BDC and then merge with and into LIEN in an all-stock, NAV-for-NAV transaction. The combined company will operate as a BDC under the LIEN ticker, with a pro-forma NAV of $613 million and a $771 million investment portfolio, expected to close in Q4 2026 subject to stockholder and regulatory approvals.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • REFI will elect BDC status and merge into LIEN in an all-stock transaction on an adjusted NAV-for-NAV basis.
  • Based on March 31, 2026 NAVs, former REFI stockholders would own approximately 50.5% of the combined company.
  • Pro-forma NAV of $613 million and pro-forma investment portfolio of $771 million.
  • Support agreements cover ~4.8% of REFI outstanding shares and ~12.9% of LIEN outstanding shares.
  • LIEN board will consider a $25 million share repurchase program post-closing.
  • Chicago Atlantic has committed $2 million of REFI's transaction expenses.
  • Merger expected to close in Q4 2026, subject to stockholder approvals, regulatory approvals, and other customary conditions.

Financial Impact

Creates a combined BDC with $613 million NAV and $771 million investment portfolio; potential for earnings accretion through operating efficiencies and increased leverage; no explicit deal value disclosed as exchange is NAV-based.

net asset valueportfolio sizeearnings per shareleverage capacity

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain required stockholder approvals from both REFI and LIEN.
  • Regulatory hurdles including SEC effectiveness of registration statement and Nasdaq listing authorization.
  • Inability to realize projected synergies or earnings accretion.
  • Potential for competing acquisition proposals triggering termination provisions.
  • Risk that the merger does not qualify as a tax-free reorganization under Section 368(a) of the Code.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-069861
Document: ea0295037-8k425_chicago.htm0001213900-26-069861
Document: ea029503701ex99-2.htm0001213900-26-069861
Document: ea029503701ex10-1.htm0001213900-26-069861
Document: ea029503701ex10-2.htm0001213900-26-069861
Document: ea029503701ex99-1.htm0001213900-26-069861
20 reports for REFI
Performance horizon
44% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 9 best @ T+20▲ +3.49%Aug 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for REFI, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.01 $10.69▼ −2.91%▼ −4.73%$9.20 (−16.44%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.68 $10.95▲ +2.53%▲ +2.42%$9.20 (−13.86%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.68 $10.95▲ +2.53%▲ +2.42%$9.20 (−13.86%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.68 $10.88▲ +1.87%▲ +1.99%$9.20 (−13.86%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.78 $10.68▼ −0.93%▼ −1.40%$9.20 (−14.66%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.61 $10.67▲ +0.57%▼ −0.55%$9.20 (−13.29%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $10.37▼ −1.32%▼ −1.72%$9.20 (+10.11%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $10.37▼ −1.32%▼ −1.72%$9.20 (+10.11%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $10.37▼ −1.32%▼ −1.72%$9.20 (+10.11%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$10.38awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$9.20 (−11.37%)
Showing 10 of 20

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Report published Jun 18, 2026