SecBot SecBot
425 ·Filed Jul 13, 2026

REFI

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001213900-26-077754
Rule 425 M&A communications
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The dilution reduces REFI's NAV per share heading into the merger, potentially lowering the per-share consideration for LIEN stockholders. Monitor the final exchange ratio calculation and any further private placements that could further dilute REFI shares. The Koach notes provide a stable yield stream but add credit risk exposure to cannabis operators.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final: all horizons settled through T+60d
REFI ▼ -10.60% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -10.60% · α vs SPY -13.98% · entry $10.75 → $9.61
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.28%
call -0.28% · α -0.68%
$10.72
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-3.07%
call -3.07% · α -1.77%
$10.42
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-4.84%
call -4.84% · α -7.33%
$10.23
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-10.60%
call -10.60% · α -13.98%
$9.61
settled 22d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

REFI issued 4.3 million shares (16.8% dilution) to Koach in exchange for $62.5 million of second-lien cannabis real estate notes yielding 12% annual interest, with a 2.5x exit fee. The transaction is permitted under the pending merger with LIEN and will affect the exchange ratio. While the notes add income-producing assets, the significant dilution to existing REFI shareholders is a near-term negative.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$62.5M

Key Facts

  • REFI issued 4,306,754 shares at $14.53/share to Koach in a private placement.
  • Shares represent ~16.8% of outstanding immediately after issuance.
  • In exchange, REFI received second-lien promissory notes with aggregate principal of ~$62.5 million.
  • Notes are secured by 32 cannabis-related properties and bear interest at 12% per annum (10% cash, 2% PIK).
  • Notes have a weighted average maturity of ~12.0 years and an exit fee of 2.5x commitment.
  • Koach investors are subject to lock-up: 20% for 3 months, 80% for 6 months.
  • The transaction is permitted under the REFI-LIEN merger agreement and will be reflected in the exchange ratio.

Financial Impact

Dilution of ~16.8% for REFI shareholders; acquisition of $62.5M in second-lien notes yielding 12% annual interest with exit fee.

shares outstandingnet asset valueexchange ratio

Risk Factors

  • Dilution of existing REFI shareholders by 16.8% reduces NAV per share.
  • Second-lien notes are subordinate to $39M of senior debt, increasing default risk.
  • Lock-up expiration may create selling pressure on REFI common stock.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-077754
Document: 0001213900-26-077754-index-headers.html0001213900-26-077754
Document: 0001213900-26-077754-index.html0001213900-26-077754
Document: 0001213900-26-077754.txt0001213900-26-077754
20 reports for REFI
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 10 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 10 best @ T+20▲ +3.49%Aug 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for REFI, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.01 $10.69▼ −2.91%▼ −4.73%$9.20 (−16.44%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.68 $10.95▲ +2.53%▲ +2.42%$9.20 (−13.86%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.68 $10.95▲ +2.53%▲ +2.42%$9.20 (−13.86%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.68 $10.88▲ +1.87%▲ +1.99%$9.20 (−13.86%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.78 $10.68▼ −0.93%▼ −1.40%$9.20 (−14.66%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.61 $10.67▲ +0.57%▼ −0.55%$9.20 (−13.29%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $10.37▼ −1.32%▼ −1.72%$9.20 (+10.11%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $10.37▼ −1.32%▼ −1.72%$9.20 (+10.11%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $10.37▼ −1.32%▼ −1.72%$9.20 (+10.11%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$10.38awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$9.20 (−11.37%)
Showing 10 of 20

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Report published Jul 14, 2026