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EFFECT ·Filed Aug 26, 2026

REAX

Real Brokerage Inc
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002750
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effective shelf registration gives Real Brokerage the flexibility to raise capital at any time, which typically pressures the stock due to dilution risk. Traders should watch for a subsequent prospectus supplement or takedown announcement, which would confirm the size and terms of an actual offering.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
REAX ▼ -35.28% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +35.28% · α vs SPY +36.48% · entry $26.59 → $17.21
Next anchor: T+60d in 23d
Latest observation: T+41 +56.23% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 26, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-11.13%
call +11.13% · α +11.79%
$23.63
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-32.19%
call +32.19% · α +32.07%
$18.03
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-35.28%
call +35.28% · α +36.48%
$17.21
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 23d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Real Brokerage Inc's shelf registration (File No. 333-282687) was declared effective on August 25, 2026, under the Securities Act of 1933. This allows the company to offer and sell securities from time to time at its discretion, creating a potential dilution overhang for common stock holders. The effectiveness follows a POS AM filing and is amplified by the IPO-context and shelf-context cross-filing actuarial verdict, indicating heightened market sensitivity to capital-raising activity.

Key Facts

  • Shelf registration (File No. 333-282687) became effective on August 25, 2026.
  • Real Brokerage Inc can now offer and sell securities at any time, creating potential dilution.
  • The filing is an EFFECT notice under the 1933 Act, confirming SEC clearance of the registration statement.
  • Cross-filing actuarial analysis identifies this as an amplified event (PMI=7.04, q=0.000, n=321) due to IPO-context and shelf-context combination.

Financial Impact

Undisclosed amount; shelf registration enables future capital raises with no specific offering size or terms stated in the filing.

dilutionshare countmarket capitalization

Risk Factors

  • Potential dilutive secondary offering or at-the-market (ATM) program could be announced at any time.
  • No specific use of proceeds disclosed, creating uncertainty about capital allocation.
  • Shelf registration overhang may cap upside until the company clarifies its capital plans.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)
Analyst Consensus
92% bullish (12 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002750
Document: 9999999995-26-002750-index.html9999999995-26-002750
Document: 9999999995-26-002750.txt9999999995-26-002750
22 reports for REAX
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 6 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 9 best @ T+20▲ +15.00%Jul 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for REAX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$16.53 $16.43▲ +0.60%▲ +1.87%$15.30 (+7.44%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.61 $15.48▼ −12.10%▼ −12.70%$15.30 (−13.12%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$26.59 $18.03▲ +32.19%▲ +32.07%$15.30 (+42.46%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
425 / 6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.99 $2.40▲ +20.60%▲ +19.39%$15.30 (+668.84%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.99 $2.40▲ +20.60%▲ +19.39%$15.30 (+668.84%)
Jul 14, 2026
15w ago
425 / 6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.00 $2.01▲ +0.50%▲ +1.80%$15.30 (+665.00%)
Jul 10, 2026
15w ago
425 / 6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$2.05 $2.18▲ +6.34%▲ +6.90%$15.30 (+646.34%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.05 $2.18▲ +6.34%▲ +6.90%$15.30 (+646.34%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.59 $1.71▲ +7.55%▲ +7.11%$15.30 (+862.26%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.68 $1.62▼ −3.57%▼ −4.14%$15.30 (+810.71%)
Showing 10 of 22

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Report published Aug 26, 2026