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424B5 ·Filed Jun 29, 2026

RDHL

RedHill Biopharma Ltd.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001178913-26-003349
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The ATM shelf increase signals ongoing cash needs at a distressed valuation. Traders should expect continued selling pressure as the company draws down this facility. Short interest may already be elevated given the history of dilutive offerings. Watch for any press releases on pipeline catalysts (e.g., Talicia, Movantik, or other GI programs) that could provide a bounce against this overhang, but avoid catching the falling knife until the ATM is exhausted or a non-dilutive financing event occurs.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
RDHL ▼ -37.10% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +37.10% · α vs SPY +41.49% · entry $0.8601 → $0.5410
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.76%
call +1.76% · α +2.53%
$0.8450
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-8.15%
call +8.15% · α +9.54%
$0.7900
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-26.37%
call +26.37% · α +26.09%
$0.6333
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-37.10%
call +37.10% · α +41.49%
$0.5410
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

RedHill Biopharma updated its ATM sales agreement shelf to allow sale of up to $2,128,000 in ADSs, supplementing prior sales of $49,690. At a $5M market cap and a $0.8786/ADS stock price, the potential 30%+ dilution is materially bearish for existing shareholders, especially given the company's tiny public float and pre-revenue status.

Key Facts

  • Registration of up to $2,128,000 in new ADSs under existing ATM Sales Agreement with H.C. Wainwright.
  • Each ADS represents 10,000 ordinary shares, creating extreme dilution mechanics.
  • Only $49,690 in ADSs had been sold prior to this supplement.
  • Public float (non-affiliate market value) is only $6,534,464 as of April 30, 2026.
  • Last reported ADS price on June 26, 2026 was $0.8786 — near all-time lows for this micro-cap.
  • Company is a pre-revenue / minimal-revenue clinical-stage biopharma with high cash burn risk.

Financial Impact

Up to $2.128M in new equity potentially representing ~33% of current public float, creating severe dilution to existing holders.

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Continued dilution as company sells new ADSs into weak market conditions.
  • Potential Nasdaq delisting if ADS price stays below $1.00 and market cap remains low.
  • No guaranteed commercial revenues to offset cash burn — pipeline execution risk is binary.
  • Historical trading patterns show large negative moves after similar neutral/caution signals.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001178913-26-003349
Document: 0001178913-26-003349-index-headers.html0001178913-26-003349
Document: 0001178913-26-003349-index.html0001178913-26-003349
27 reports for RDHL
Performance horizon
86% Hit rate @ T+60 6 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 11 best @ T+60▲ +40.60%Jun 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RDHL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.4550awaiting T+60—$0.4230 (−7.03%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.5012awaiting T+60—$0.4230 (−15.60%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.5012awaiting T+60—$0.4230 (−15.60%)
Oct 13, 2026
12d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.4862awaiting T+60—$0.4230 (+13.00%)
Oct 13, 2026
12d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.4862awaiting T+60—$0.4230 (+13.00%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.4740awaiting T+60—$0.4230 (−10.76%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.8700awaiting T+60—$0.4230 (−51.38%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.9000awaiting T+60—$0.4230 (−53.00%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.6050awaiting T+60—$0.4230 (−30.08%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.5810awaiting T+60—$0.4230 (−27.19%)
Showing 10 of 27

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 21m

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Report published Jun 29, 2026