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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 12, 2026

RCAT

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Offering
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The offering creates immediate dilution and overhang. Monitor for the final prospectus supplement for exact terms and any insider participation. The greenshoe option could add further dilution. Watch for use of proceeds announcements—acquisitions could offset dilution if accretive, but near-term price pressure is likely.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RCAT ▼ -2.02% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.02% · α vs SPY +6.46% · entry $9.40 → $9.21
Entry = T+0 close
May 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+3.62%
call -3.62% · α -2.84%
$9.74
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-9.04%
call +9.04% · α +7.88%
$8.55
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+27.77%
call -27.77% · α -28.38%
$12.01
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-2.02%
call +2.02% · α +6.46%
$9.21
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Red Cat Holdings priced a $225M underwritten public offering of 23.9M shares at $9.40/share, representing ~17% dilution from the current market cap of $1.4B. The offering is dilutive to existing shareholders and signals near-term equity overhang, though proceeds will fund strategic growth initiatives including potential M&A and R&D.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$225.0M

Key Facts

  • Priced at $9.40 per share, a 0% discount to the last closing price (no premium/discount stated, but at-market pricing).
  • 23,936,171 shares offered, with a 30-day greenshoe option for up to 3,590,425 additional shares.
  • Gross proceeds of ~$225M before underwriting fees and expenses.
  • Underwriters include Evercore ISI and BofA Securities as joint lead bookrunners.
  • Proceeds for general corporate purposes, acquisitions, R&D, capital expenditures, and working capital.
  • Offering expected to close on or about May 14, 2026.

Financial Impact

~$225M gross proceeds, representing ~17% dilution based on current market cap of $1.4B (23.9M shares / ~140M shares outstanding estimated).

dilutionshare countcash balance

Risk Factors

  • Dilution of ~17% from the base offering, potentially ~20% if greenshoe fully exercised.
  • Equity overhang as shares enter the market; potential for downward price pressure.
  • Execution risk on strategic growth initiatives—proceeds may not generate near-term returns.
  • No stated use of proceeds for debt reduction or buybacks, increasing dilution risk.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3293618
26 reports for RCAT
Performance horizon
73% Hit rate @ T+5 8 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 11 best @ T+5▲ +56.70%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RCAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.43awaiting T+5—$4.43 (−0.00%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.40 $5.77▼ −9.84%▼ −11.00%$4.43 (−30.78%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.33 $5.91▼ −6.64%▼ −7.94%$4.43 (−30.02%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.53 $9.28▼ −2.62%▼ −3.74%$4.43 (−53.52%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.13 $9.62▼ −13.57%▼ −12.20%$4.43 (−60.20%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.00 $10.44▲ +4.40%▲ +4.45%$4.43 (−55.70%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.38 $8.67▲ +17.48%▲ +13.86%$4.43 (−39.97%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.83 $6.77▲ +13.54%▲ +11.14%$4.43 (+43.42%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.01 $11.20▼ −6.74%▼ −7.18%$4.43 (−63.11%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.03 $14.15▲ +56.70%▲ +55.10%$4.43 (−50.94%)
Showing 10 of 26

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (13h 20m)

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Report published May 12, 2026