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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

RCAT

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Contract
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The $2.49M contract is small in absolute terms but strategically important as it opens a path to replace the entire AFSFC Teal 2 fleet. Monitor for any follow-on orders or expansion announcements from the Air Force after the August 24 delivery and assessment period.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
RCAT ▼ -39.97% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -39.97% · α vs SPY -42.44% · entry $7.38 → $4.43
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.03%
call +2.03% · α +1.33%
$7.53
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+17.48%
call +17.48% · α +13.86%
$8.67
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+25.75%
call +25.75% · α +21.78%
$9.28
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-39.97%
call -39.97% · α -42.44%
$4.43
settled 4d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Red Cat's Teal Drones subsidiary received a $2.49 million firm-fixed-price contract from the U.S. Air Force Security Forces Center to supply Black Widow small unmanned aircraft systems for a technical and operational assessment. The assessment positions Black Widow as a potential successor to the current Teal 2 fleet across the entire AFSFC enterprise, building on Red Cat's existing U.S. Army Short Range Reconnaissance platform selection. While the contract value is modest, the strategic significance lies in the potential follow-on replacement of a larger installed base.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$2.5M

Key Facts

  • $2.49 million firm-fixed-price contract from U.S. Air Force Security Forces Center (AFSFC)
  • Contract covers Black Widow systems, train-the-trainer support, batteries, spares and shipping
  • Equipment will be used for technical and operational assessment of Black Widow as potential successor to AFSFC's current Teal 2 fleet
  • Delivery deadline is August 24, 2026
  • Black Widow is already the U.S. Army's selected Short Range Reconnaissance platform

Financial Impact

$2.49 million contract, with potential for significantly larger follow-on replacement orders across the entire AFSFC Teal 2 fleet

revenuebacklog

Risk Factors

  • Assessment may not lead to a fleet-wide replacement order
  • Competing systems could be evaluated alongside Black Widow
  • Delivery and assessment timeline is tight (less than one month)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
92% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3335833
26 reports for RCAT
Performance horizon
73% Hit rate @ T+5 8 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 10 of 12 best @ T+5▲ +56.70%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RCAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.40awaiting T+5—$4.87 (+10.68%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.40 $5.77▼ −9.84%▼ −11.00%$4.87 (−23.91%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.33 $5.91▼ −6.64%▼ −7.94%$4.87 (−23.06%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.53 $9.28▼ −2.62%▼ −3.74%$4.87 (−48.90%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.13 $9.62▼ −13.57%▼ −12.20%$4.87 (−56.24%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.00 $10.44▲ +4.40%▲ +4.45%$4.87 (−51.30%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.38 $8.67▲ +17.48%▲ +13.86%$4.87 (−34.01%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.83 $6.77▲ +13.54%▲ +11.14%$4.87 (+37.80%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.01 $11.20▼ −6.74%▼ −7.18%$4.87 (−59.45%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.03 $14.15▲ +56.70%▲ +55.10%$4.87 (−46.07%)
Showing 10 of 26

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Jul 30, 2026