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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Apr 30, 2026

RCAT

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Contract
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor for follow-on orders from Japan and other Asia-Pacific allies, as well as any disclosed contract value in future filings. The licensed manufacturing agreement could expand Red Cat's revenue base.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RCAT ▼ -33.53% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -33.53% · α vs SPY -36.64% · entry $11.72 → $7.79
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.18%
call -4.18% · α -4.40%
$11.23
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-9.39%
call -9.39% · α -11.11%
$10.62
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+20.73%
call +20.73% · α +15.77%
$14.15
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-33.53%
call -33.53% · α -36.64%
$7.79
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Red Cat disclosed new details on a previously announced Asia-Pacific contract award from Japan's Ministry of Defense for 173 Black Widow sUAS systems, delivered under JFY26 funding. This is the second Asia-Pacific Ally order for the Black Widow, following a prior Australian Army order, and includes a concurrent contract for spare parts and training. The deal signals growing international adoption of Red Cat's tactical ISR systems but no financial terms were disclosed.

Key Facts

  • Contract award from Japan's Acquisition, Technology & Logistics Agency (ATLA) for 173 Black Widow sUAS systems.
  • Delivery under Japan Fiscal Year 2026 (JFY26) funding.
  • Second Asia-Pacific Ally order for Black Widow after Australian Army.
  • Each system includes two Black Widow aircraft, one WEB ground control station, and mission-critical components.
  • Concurrent contract covers spare parts and training; licensed manufacturing agreement expected over time.
  • Partners include HAMA K.K. and ITOCHU Aviation Co., Ltd. (Japan), and ITOCHU Aviation, Inc. (U.S.).
  • No financial terms (dollar value, unit price) disclosed in the release.

Financial Impact

Undisclosed — contract value not provided; likely material given 173 systems and multi-year support/spares component.

revenuebacklog

Risk Factors

  • No contract value disclosed — market may discount the announcement without a dollar figure.
  • Execution risk on delivery timelines and in-country training/support ramp.
  • Geopolitical risk: Japan defense budget shifts or program cancellations.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
90% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3284629
26 reports for RCAT
Performance horizon
82% Hit rate @ T+5 9 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 11 best @ T+5▲ +56.70%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RCAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.43awaiting T+5—$4.82 (+8.69%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.40 $5.77▼ −9.84%▼ −11.00%$4.82 (−24.77%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.33 $5.91▼ −6.64%▼ −7.94%$4.82 (−23.93%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.53 $9.28▼ −2.62%▼ −3.74%$4.82 (−49.48%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.13 $9.62▼ −13.57%▼ −12.20%$4.82 (−56.74%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.00 $10.44▲ +4.40%▲ +4.45%$4.82 (−51.85%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.38 $8.67▲ +17.48%▲ +13.86%$4.82 (−34.76%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.83 $6.77▲ +13.54%▲ +11.14%$4.82 (+38.51%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.01 $11.20▼ −6.74%▼ −7.18%$4.82 (−59.91%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.03 $14.15▲ +56.70%▲ +55.10%$4.82 (−46.68%)
Showing 10 of 26

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Report published Apr 30, 2026