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8-K ·Filed May 14, 2026

RCAT

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-061333
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The back-to-back offerings signal aggressive capital needs that may pressure the stock near-term as the market absorbs ~$425M in new supply. Monitor for any acquisition announcement that could provide a strategic rationale for the raise, and watch for the underwriters' option exercise. The 60-day lock-up on insiders provides some near-term support, but the dilution overhang is material.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RCAT ▲ +12.33% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -12.33% · α vs SPY -7.81% · entry $9.49 → $10.66
Entry = T+0 close
May 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-5.90%
call +5.90% · α +5.84%
$8.93
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-0.84%
call +0.84% · α +1.81%
$9.41
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+26.13%
call -26.13% · α -24.01%
$11.97
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+12.33%
call -12.33% · α -7.81%
$10.66
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Red Cat Holdings priced a $225M underwritten public offering of 23,936,171 shares at $9.40/share, with an underwriter option for an additional 3,590,425 shares. The offering closed May 14, 2026, and proceeds are earmarked for general corporate purposes and strategic growth initiatives including acquisitions, R&D, and working capital. This capital raise follows a $200M 424B5 offering just 2 days prior, creating significant near-term dilution of approximately 14.6% on the base offering alone.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$225.0M

Key Facts

  • 23,936,171 shares sold at $9.40/share for ~$225M gross proceeds
  • Underwriters have 30-day option to purchase up to 3,590,425 additional shares
  • Offering closed May 14, 2026
  • Proceeds for general corporate purposes and strategic growth (acquisitions, R&D, capex, working capital)
  • Follows a $200M 424B5 offering filed just 2 days prior on May 12, 2026
  • Combined offerings represent significant dilution to existing shareholders
  • Evercore ISI and BofA Securities acted as joint lead bookrunners

Financial Impact

~$225M gross proceeds from this offering, combined with ~$200M from the prior 424B5 offering for ~$425M total in 2 days; dilution of ~14.6% from this offering alone based on shares outstanding as of March 31, 2026

dilutionshare countcash balance

Risk Factors

  • Significant dilution from two large offerings in rapid succession
  • Potential for further dilution if underwriters exercise the 30-day option for additional 3.59M shares
  • Market may view aggressive capital raising as a sign of cash burn or urgent financing needs
  • Stock price may face downward pressure from increased float and potential selling by new investors

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-061333
Document: tm2614279d7_8k.htm0001104659-26-061333
Document: tm2614279d7_ex5-1.htm0001104659-26-061333
Document: tm2614279d7_ex99-2.htm0001104659-26-061333
Document: tm2614279d7_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-061333
Document: 0001104659-26-061333-index-headers.html0001104659-26-061333
Document: 0001104659-26-061333-index.html0001104659-26-061333
Document: 0001104659-26-061333.txt0001104659-26-061333
26 reports for RCAT
Performance horizon
73% Hit rate @ T+5 8 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 10 of 12 best @ T+5▲ +56.70%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RCAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.40awaiting T+5—$4.87 (+10.68%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.40 $5.77▼ −9.84%▼ −11.00%$4.87 (−23.91%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.33 $5.91▼ −6.64%▼ −7.94%$4.87 (−23.06%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.53 $9.28▼ −2.62%▼ −3.74%$4.87 (−48.90%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.13 $9.62▼ −13.57%▼ −12.20%$4.87 (−56.24%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.00 $10.44▲ +4.40%▲ +4.45%$4.87 (−51.30%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.38 $8.67▲ +17.48%▲ +13.86%$4.87 (−34.01%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.83 $6.77▲ +13.54%▲ +11.14%$4.87 (+37.80%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.01 $11.20▼ −6.74%▼ −7.18%$4.87 (−59.45%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.03 $14.15▲ +56.70%▲ +55.10%$4.87 (−46.07%)
Showing 10 of 26

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published May 14, 2026