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8-K ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

PRCH

Porch Group, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed12d 18h ago SEC0001784535-26-000054
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Watch for regulatory approval from the Texas Department of Insurance and the timing of the Q1 2027 close. The ATM Program filing provides flexibility for the Reciprocal to sell PRCH shares to add growth capital to statutory surplus. Monitor integration progress and any adjustments to the purchase price based on ATIC's statutory surplus at close.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
PRCH ▲ +13.08% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +13.08% · α vs SPY +12.62% · entry $16.44 → $18.59
Next anchor: T+20d in 15d
Latest observation: T+7 +3.83% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.87%
call +6.87% · α +6.59%
$17.57
settled 12d ago
T+5d
+13.08%
call +13.08% · α +12.62%
$18.59
settled 6d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 15d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Porch Group, through its Reciprocal and HOA Holdco, entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Allied Trust's insurance carrier (ATIC), managing general agent (AU MGA), and captive reinsurer (Lonestar) for total consideration of $200 million, subject to adjustments. The acquisition is expected to add ~$200M in Reciprocal Written Premium and ~$25M in Adjusted EBITDA (Excluding Reciprocal) in the first full year post-close, with closing targeted for Q1 2027 pending Texas Department of Insurance approval. The deal is funded via a mix of cash and up to $70M in PRCH stock, and the company also announced plans to file an at-the-market equity offering program.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$200.0M
Deal Type
acquisition

Key Facts

  • Total consideration of $200.0 million for acquisition of Allied Trust's insurance carrier, MGA, and captive reinsurer.
  • Reciprocal pays $55M cash at close plus $50M deferred over 12 months for ATIC; HOA Holdco pays $95M at close for AU MGA and Lonestar.
  • Up to $20M of HOA Holdco's closing payment and up to $50M of Reciprocal's deferred payments may be satisfied in PRCH stock.
  • Expected to add ~$200M in Reciprocal Written Premium and ~$25M Adjusted EBITDA (Excluding Reciprocal) in first full year post-close.
  • Closing expected Q1 2027, not earlier than January 1, 2027, subject to Texas Department of Insurance approval.
  • Company plans to file an at-the-market equity offering program for PRCH shares.
  • Acquisition multiple of less than 4x based on expected first-year Adjusted EBITDA (Excluding Reciprocal) contribution.

Financial Impact

$200 million total consideration; expected ~$200M RWP and ~$25M Adjusted EBITDA (Excluding Reciprocal) contribution in first full year post-close; less than 4x acquisition multiple

revenueebitdapremium_writtendilution

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory approval from Texas Department of Insurance may be delayed or impose conditions.
  • Integration risks and failure to realize expected synergies or cost savings.
  • Potential dilution from up to $70M in PRCH stock issuance and future ATM sales.
  • Catastrophe and severe weather exposure in acquired insurance book (Louisiana, Texas, etc.).
  • Adjustments to purchase price based on ATIC's statutory surplus could reduce deal value.

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001784535-26-000054
Document: prch-20261013.htm0001784535-26-000054
Document: prch-20261013xexx991.htm0001784535-26-000054
Document: 0001784535-26-000054-index-headers.html0001784535-26-000054
Document: 0001784535-26-000054-index.html0001784535-26-000054
Document: 0001784535-26-000054.txt0001784535-26-000054
21 reports for PRCH
Performance horizon
44% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 9 best @ T+60▲ +16.88%Apr 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PRCH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$18.11awaiting T+5—$17.65 (+2.54%)
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$18.59awaiting T+5—$17.65 (−5.06%)
Oct 13, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$16.44 $18.59▲ +13.08%▲ +12.62%$17.65 (+7.36%)
Oct 6, 2026
19d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$17.31 $16.44▼ −5.03%▼ −4.05%$17.65 (+1.96%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.35 $17.69▲ +1.96%▲ +1.54%$17.65 (+1.73%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$15.98 $16.47▼ −3.07%▼ −2.47%$17.65 (−10.45%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.72 $12.25▲ +26.03%▲ +25.60%$17.65 (+81.58%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$10.42 $9.26▲ +11.13%▲ +8.61%$17.65 (−69.39%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$9.56 $11.03▼ −15.38%▼ −13.72%$17.65 (−84.62%)
May 19, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.74 $10.34▲ +6.16%▲ +4.36%$17.65 (+81.21%)
Showing 10 of 21

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Report published Oct 13, 2026