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EFFECT ·Filed Sep 28, 2026

POLA

Polar Power, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed29d 4h ago SEC9999999995-26-003065
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

With the shelf now effective, selling stockholders can immediately convert and resell shares, creating continuous downward pressure. Monitor for Form 4 filings indicating insider conversions and any Nasdaq delisting notice if equity deficiency is not cured by October 28 deadline.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
POLA ▼ -46.94% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +46.94% · α vs SPY +46.91% · entry $1.26 → $0.6686
Next anchor: T+60d in 8w
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.38%
call +2.38% · α +2.20%
$1.23
settled 28d ago
T+5d
-8.73%
call +8.73% · α +9.93%
$1.15
settled 22d ago
T+20d
-46.94%
call +46.94% · α +46.91%
$0.6686
settled 21h ago
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Polar Power's S-1 registration statement covering up to 8,488,774 shares (201.6% dilution from variable-priced convertible notes and Series A Preferred has been declared effective by the SEC as of September 25, 2026. The company now has immediate ability to sell shares under a 'death spiral' convertible structure while simultaneously facing a Nasdaq equity deficiency extension and going-concern doubts, creating severe dilution overhang.

Key Facts

  • S-1 registration effective September 25, 2026 (File No. 333-298541)
  • Covers up to 8,488,774 shares of common stock for resale by selling stockholders
  • Shares issuable upon conversion of variable-priced convertible notes and Series A Preferred stock
  • Representing approximately 201.6% of currently outstanding shares
  • Company has Nasdaq minimum stockholders' equity deficiency extension until October 28, 2026
  • Company has expressed substantial doubt about ability to continue as a going concern

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of up to 201.6% of outstanding shares via variable-priced convertible instruments, creating a 'death spiral' dynamic where lower stock prices trigger more dilution

dilutionshare countstockholders' equitygoing concern

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution overhang as variable-priced notes convert at lower stock prices
  • Nasdaq delisting risk if stockholders' equity deficiency not cured by October 28, 2026
  • Going-concern risk as company has expressed substantial doubt about viability
  • Death spiral dynamic where price declines accelerate dilution

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-003065
Document: 9999999995-26-003065-index.html9999999995-26-003065
Document: 9999999995-26-003065.txt9999999995-26-003065
12 reports for POLA
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +24.29%May 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for POLA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7602awaiting T+20—$0.6500 (+14.50%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
SC 13D
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.8200awaiting T+20—$0.6500 (−20.73%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.9649awaiting T+20—$0.6500 (−32.64%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.08awaiting T+20—$0.6500 (−39.81%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.23awaiting T+20—$0.6500 (−47.15%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.26 $0.6686▲ +46.94%▲ +46.91%$0.6500 (+48.41%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.39 $1.23▲ +11.51%▲ +11.32%$0.6500 (+53.24%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.51 $1.25▲ +17.22%▲ +18.46%$0.6500 (+56.95%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.78 $1.38▲ +22.47%▲ +22.07%$0.6500 (+63.48%)
Jun 2, 2026
20w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$2.08 $1.72▼ −17.31%▼ −15.74%$0.6500 (−68.75%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

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Report published Sep 28, 2026