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8-K ·Filed Oct 22, 2026

PHM

PULTEGROUP INC/MI/
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d 20h ago SEC0000822416-26-000041
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sequential deterioration in orders and closings, combined with rising mortgage rates and affordability headwinds cited by management, suggests further downside risk to Q4 results. Monitor the conference call for commentary on community count trajectory and pricing strategy adjustments.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled: T+1d
PHM ▲ +1.43% at T+1d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -1.43% · α vs SPY -1.95% · entry $119.48 → $121.19
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.43%
call -1.43% · α -1.95%
$121.19
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

PulteGroup reported Q3 2026 EPS of $2.53, slightly below consensus of $2.54, on home sale revenues of $3.86B, which missed the $4.30B estimate and declined 9% YoY. Closings fell 9% to 6,876 homes, net new orders dropped 6%, and home sale gross margin contracted to 24.8% from 26.2% a year ago, including $26M in land impairments. The company continued aggressive share repurchases ($350M in the quarter) and maintained a strong balance sheet with a 12.1% debt-to-capital ratio.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.53
est $2.54 · -0.4%
Revenue
$3.9B
est $4.3B · -10.3% · -9.8% YoY
Rating
miss
Gross Margin
24.8%

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 diluted EPS of $2.53 vs consensus $2.54 (miss by ~0.4%)
  • Home sale revenues of $3.86B, down 9% YoY from $4.25B, missing $4.30B consensus
  • Closings decreased 9% to 6,876 homes; average selling price down 1% to $561,000
  • Home sale gross margin of 24.8% vs 26.2% a year ago, inclusive of $26M land impairments
  • Net new orders fell 6% to 6,208 homes; order value down to $3.5B from $3.6B
  • Unit backlog increased 4% to 10,298 homes; backlog value up 3% to $6.4B
  • Repurchased 2.8M shares for $350M in Q3; YTD repurchases of 8.4M shares for $1.0B
  • Financial services pre-tax income of $46M, comparable to prior year; mortgage capture rate 85%
  • Cash of $1.4B; debt-to-capital ratio of 12.1%

Financial Impact

Revenue miss of ~$440M vs consensus; EPS miss of $0.01; gross margin contraction of 140 bps YoY

revenueepsgross marginclosingsnet new orders

Risk Factors

  • Continued pressure from rising mortgage rates and strained housing affordability
  • Further gross margin compression from land impairments and higher incentives
  • Potential for additional order cancellations if interest rates remain elevated

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000822416-26-000041
Document: phm-20261022.htm0000822416-26-000041
Document: 0000822416-26-000041-index-headers.html0000822416-26-000041
Document: 0000822416-26-000041-index.html0000822416-26-000041
Document: 0000822416-26-000041.txt0000822416-26-000041
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000822416-26-000041
7 reports for PHM
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +11.01%Apr 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PHM, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$121.31awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$121.63 (+0.26%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$119.48awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$121.63 (−1.80%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$126.75 $112.99▲ +10.86%▲ +14.12%$121.63 (+4.04%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$126.96 $118.94▼ −6.32%▼ −8.21%$121.63 (−4.20%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$130.64 $123.18▲ +5.71%▲ +10.73%$121.63 (+6.90%)
Mar 13, 2026
32w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$121.91 $117.71▼ −3.45%▼ −13.93%$121.63 (−0.23%)
Feb 28, 2026
34w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$133.44 $117.84▼ −11.69%▼ −21.01%$121.63 (−8.85%)
Showing 7 of 7

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Report published Oct 22, 2026