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8-K ·Filed Oct 22, 2026

PG

PROCTER & GAMBLE Co
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4d 21h ago SEC0000080424-26-000252
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor upcoming quarters for margin trajectory as cost headwinds intensify — the maintained guidance implies management expects to offset pressures via productivity savings and pricing, but the 150 bps gross margin compression in Q1 suggests near-term earnings risk.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
PG ▼ -2.76% at T+1d
NEUTRAL call -2.76% · α vs SPY -2.24% · entry $165.59 → $161.02
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.76%
call -2.76% · α -2.24%
$161.02
settled 4d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 23d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

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Executive Summary

Procter & Gamble reported Q1 FY2027 results with organic sales growth of +4.0%, driven by volume (+2.4%) and mix (+1.1%), while core EPS grew +1% to $2.00. The company maintained its FY2027 guidance for organic sales growth of +1% to +3% and core EPS growth of +0% to +3%, but flagged increasing cost headwinds from commodities, transportation, and energy. Core gross margin contracted 150 bps YoY, and core operating margin contracted 80 bps, reflecting cost pressures that are expected to intensify.

Key Facts

  • Q1 FY2027 organic sales growth of +4.0% (volume +2.4%, pricing +0.4%, mix +1.1%)
  • Core EPS of $2.00, +1% YoY; currency-neutral core EPS of $1.99, flat YoY
  • Core gross margin contracted 150 bps YoY to 50.0%; core operating margin contracted 80 bps to 25.9%
  • Free cash flow productivity of 93% ($4.4B free cash flow on $4.8B net earnings)
  • FY2027 guidance maintained: organic sales +1% to +3%, core EPS growth +0% to +3%, all-in EPS growth +1% to +5%
  • Expects $1.4B after-tax headwind from higher energy, transportation, and raw material costs in FY2027
  • All 10 product categories and all 6 regions grew organic sales in Q1
  • Plans ~$5B in direct share repurchases and >$10B in dividends for FY2027

Financial Impact

Q1 organic sales +4.0% YoY; core EPS +1% to $2.00; core gross margin -150 bps; FY2027 cost headwinds of $1.4B from commodities/energy/transportation

organic sales growthcore EPScore gross margincore operating marginfree cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Increasing commodity, energy, and transportation costs ($1.4B after-tax headwind)
  • Core gross margin contraction of 150 bps YoY signals structural cost pressure
  • Currency-neutral core EPS flat YoY — underlying earnings growth is minimal
  • FY2027 guidance range for core EPS growth is narrow (0% to +3%), leaving little room for error

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000080424-26-000252
Document: slides.htm0000080424-26-000252
Document: 0000080424-26-000252-index-headers.html0000080424-26-000252
Document: 0000080424-26-000252-index.html0000080424-26-000252
Document: 0000080424-26-000252.txt0000080424-26-000252
34 reports for PG
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +7.55%Jun 4, 2026
Filters
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Reports for PG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$160.76awaiting T+20—$159.92 (−0.52%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$159.60awaiting T+20—$159.92 (−0.20%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$159.14awaiting T+20—$159.92 (+0.49%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$159.69awaiting T+20—$159.92 (+0.14%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$160.50awaiting T+20—$159.92 (−0.36%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$160.55awaiting T+20—$159.92 (−0.39%)
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 4/10
$161.08awaiting T+20—$159.92 (−0.72%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$161.02awaiting T+20—$159.92 (+0.68%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$161.02awaiting T+20—$159.92 (−0.68%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$161.02awaiting T+20—$159.92 (−0.68%)
Showing 10 of 34

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Report published Oct 22, 2026