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Institutional Cluster

PENG

Penguin Solutions, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is purely mechanical rebalancing by passive index funds, likely reflecting PENG's inclusion in the S&P SmallCap 600 or another index. No active manager conviction exists. Monitor the stock's relative strength into year-end as passive rebalancing flows complete. The absence of any active or activist fund buying suggests the stock is not being independently vetted by fundamental investors yet — the real catalyst flow is missing.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
PENG ▼ -19.54% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -19.54% · α vs SPY -23.94% · entry $64.33 → $51.76
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.31%
call -0.31% · α -0.85%
$64.13
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-7.23%
call -7.23% · α -7.66%
$59.68
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+26.52%
call +26.52% · α +24.63%
$81.39
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-19.54%
call -19.54% · α -23.94%
$51.76
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

Four large passive index fund complexes (Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, Fidelity) established new positions totaling $566.4M in PENG during 2025 Q3. This is the first time these mega-passive funds appear in the stock, likely reflecting index rebalancing or PENG's inclusion in major indices after its October 2024 spin-off. The signal is purely mechanical — no active investment thesis is indicated.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$566.4M
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$566.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $566.4M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
VanguardNEW+0%$173.3M$173.3M
BlackRockNEW+0%$206.9M$206.9M
State StreetNEW+0%$75.3M$75.3M
FidelityNEW+0%$110.9M$110.9M

Key Facts

  • 4 mega-passive index fund families established NEW positions in PENG in Q3 2025
  • Aggregate buying value: $566.4M
  • No institutional sellers in the cluster
  • BlackRock's holding is the largest at $206.9M (7.87M shares)
  • PENG was spun off from Smart Global Holdings in October 2024; index funds typically take 2-4 quarters to fully incorporate spin-offs
  • All four funds are passive/index managers — no active investment thesis is present

Financial Impact

4 passive funds accumulated $566.4M in PENG (NEW positions), representing roughly 18-19% of the ~$3.0B market cap

float_absorptionindex_inclusion

Risk Factors

  • Passive flows may reverse if PENG is dropped from indices or if index rebalancing is front-run
  • No active manager participation means no fundamental catalyst drive
  • The 13F data is from Q3 2025 — nearly 6 months old; the identified positions may have been trimmed or exited since quarter-end

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-PENG-2025-Q3
17 reports for PENG
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +267.38%Apr 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PENG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$53.02awaiting T+5——
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$53.41awaiting T+5——
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$56.54 $54.92▲ +2.87%▲ +2.72%—
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$76.28 $57.10▼ −25.14%▼ −23.18%—
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$72.61 $67.59▼ −6.91%▼ −5.93%—
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$72.61 $67.59▼ −6.91%▼ −5.93%—
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$48.13 $52.60▲ +9.29%▲ +7.02%—
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$53.23 $53.85▲ +1.16%▲ +1.59%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$64.33 $59.68▼ −7.23%▼ −7.66%—
Jun 2, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$71.41 $58.52▼ −18.05%▼ −14.23%—
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (17h 28m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026