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8-K ·Filed Oct 20, 2026

PEGA

PEGASYSTEMS INC
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed6d 9h ago SEC0001013857-26-000057
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The ACV deceleration from 12% to 6% YoY is the key metric to watch — if it does not re-accelerate in Q4, the 2028 FCF target may be at risk. Monitor the Q4 earnings call for updates on go-to-market restructuring and any guidance revision.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+1d
PEGA ▲ +4.18% at T+1d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -4.18% · α vs SPY -5.36% · entry $35.18 → $36.65
Next anchor: T+5d in 7h
Latest observation: T+2 +0.46% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.18%
call -4.18% · α -5.36%
$36.65
settled 6d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 7h
T+20d
Pending
in 21d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Pegasystems reported Q3 2026 revenue of $393.4M (+3% YoY), slightly below the $421.1M consensus, and GAAP EPS of $0.08 (down 67% YoY) vs the $0.46 consensus. Total ACV growth slowed to 6% (7% constant currency), with Pega Cloud ACV growing 20% to 59% of total ACV. Management acknowledged go-to-market execution challenges and guided for a $700M+ free cash flow target in 2028, but the ACV deceleration and earnings miss are the dominant signals.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.08
est $0.46 · -82.6%
Revenue
$393.4M
est $421.1M · -6.6% · +3.1% YoY
Rating
miss
Free Cash Flow
$289.8M
Gross Margin
73.6%

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 total revenue $393.4M, +3% YoY vs $421.1M consensus (miss)
  • GAAP diluted EPS $0.08, down 67% YoY vs $0.46 consensus (miss)
  • Non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.35, +17% YoY
  • Total ACV $1.653B, +6% as reported (+7% constant currency) — decelerated from 12% YoY in Q1 2026
  • Pega Cloud ACV $976M, +20% YoY, now 59% of total ACV
  • Subscription license revenue $55.6M, -9% YoY; consulting revenue $46.2M, -18% YoY
  • Operating cash flow $304.3M for 9M 2026, -12% YoY; free cash flow $289.8M, -14% YoY
  • Backlog (RPO) $2.009B, +15% YoY
  • Litigation settlement of $16M in Q3 2026
  • Management cites go-to-market execution challenges and client scrutiny of large tech investments
  • Company targets $700M+ free cash flow in 2028

Financial Impact

Revenue miss of ~$27.7M vs consensus; GAAP EPS miss of $0.38 vs consensus; ACV growth halved from 12% to 6% YoY

revenueepsacvcash flow

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Pega Cloud$218.9M+18.6%
Maintenance$72.7M-8.8%
Subscription services$291.6M+10.4%
Subscription license$55.6M-8.5%
Consulting$46.2M-18.1%

Risk Factors

  • ACV growth continued to decelerate (12% in Q1 → 6% in Q3), indicating structural slowdown
  • GAAP net income fell 68% YoY to $14.1M, pressured by litigation settlement and higher legal fees
  • Subscription license revenue declined 9% YoY; consulting revenue declined 18% YoY
  • Free cash flow for 9M 2026 declined 14% YoY to $289.8M
  • Management explicitly warned that ACV and cash flow headwinds may continue for the rest of the year

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001013857-26-000057
Document: pega-20261020.htm0001013857-26-000057
Document: 0001013857-26-000057-index-headers.html0001013857-26-000057
Document: 0001013857-26-000057-index.html0001013857-26-000057
Document: 0001013857-26-000057.txt0001013857-26-000057
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001013857-26-000057
13 reports for PEGA
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +21.38%Mar 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PEGA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$36.42awaiting T+20—$36.71 (+0.80%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$36.65awaiting T+20—$36.71 (+0.16%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$35.18awaiting T+20—$36.71 (−4.35%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$35.02 $34.54▼ −1.37%▼ −1.57%$36.71 (+4.83%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$36.84 $33.83▼ −8.17%▼ −10.23%$36.71 (−0.35%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$36.84 $33.83▲ +8.17%▲ +10.23%$36.71 (+0.35%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.16 $32.21▼ −5.71%▼ −7.15%$36.71 (+7.46%)
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$36.77 $34.33▼ −6.64%▼ −11.59%$36.71 (−0.16%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$37.48 $33.50▲ +10.62%▲ +13.78%$36.71 (+2.05%)
Mar 10, 2026
33w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$44.66 $41.20▼ −7.74%▼ −7.59%$36.71 (−17.80%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 8h 16m

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Report published Oct 20, 2026