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424B5 ·Filed May 14, 2026

PDFS

PDF SOLUTIONS INC
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed5mo ago SEC0001193125-26-224240
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The 13.6% discount to the prior close signals aggressive pricing, likely to clear the large secondary block from Advantest. The offering adds ~3.2% dilution from the primary component alone. Watch for the stock to open near the $44 offer price and potentially drift lower as the 3.3M-share secondary overhang is absorbed. The strong Q1 earnings provide a partial offset, but the combination of discount pricing and a strategic partner's full exit is a clear near-term negative signal.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
PDFS ▲ +9.96% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -9.96% · α vs SPY -5.44% · entry $44.70 → $49.15
Entry = T+0 close
May 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.37%
call +2.37% · α +2.31%
$43.64
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+3.11%
call -3.11% · α -2.15%
$46.09
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+45.62%
call -45.62% · α -43.50%
$65.09
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+9.96%
call -9.96% · α -5.44%
$49.15
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

PDF Solutions is pricing a 4,568,308-share common stock offering at $44.00 per share, a 13.6% discount to the prior close of $50.95. The company is selling 1,261,384 shares (netting ~$53M) and selling stockholder Advantest America is selling 3,306,924 shares (netting ~$139M). The offering comes one day after filing a shelf registration and one week after reporting strong Q1 results (revenue +26% YoY, GAAP EPS $0.12 vs -$0.08 YoY). The dilutive overhang and secondary sale by a strategic partner outweigh the positive earnings momentum, creating near-term bearish pressure.

Key Facts

  • Offering of 4,568,308 shares at $44.00/share, a 13.6% discount to the $50.95 prior close
  • Company sells 1,261,384 shares (~$53M net proceeds); selling stockholder Advantest America sells 3,306,924 shares (~$139M net proceeds)
  • Underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase up to 685,246 additional shares from the company
  • Q1 2026 revenue of $60.1M (+26% YoY); GAAP EPS $0.12 vs -$0.08 YoY; non-GAAP EPS $0.31 vs $0.21 YoY
  • Pro forma shares outstanding increase from 39.9M to 41.2M (~3.2% dilution from company shares alone)
  • Selling stockholder Advantest America owned 8.29% of shares pre-offering and is selling its entire stake
  • 60-day lock-up agreements for company and insiders

Financial Impact

$201M total offering at $44/share; company nets ~$53M; selling stockholder nets ~$139M

dilutionshare countcash balance

Risk Factors

  • Secondary sale by strategic partner Advantest America exiting its entire 8.29% stake signals potential loss of strategic alignment
  • 13.6% discount to prior close creates immediate mark-to-market loss for existing holders
  • Potential for further dilution if underwriters exercise the 685,246-share greenshoe option
  • Proceeds used for general corporate purposes with no specific value-creating use identified

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
90% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-224240
Document: d110879dexfilingfees.htm0001193125-26-224240
Document: 0001193125-26-224240-index-headers.html0001193125-26-224240
Document: 0001193125-26-224240-index.html0001193125-26-224240
Document: 0001193125-26-224240.txt0001193125-26-224240
8 reports for PDFS
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+5▲ +3.19%May 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PDFS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$41.18awaiting T+1—$40.82 (−0.87%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$52.69 $47.62▼ −9.62%▼ −9.61%$40.82 (−22.53%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$43.64 $42.57▲ +2.45%▲ +1.80%$40.82 (+6.46%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$44.70 $43.64▲ +2.37%▲ +2.31%$40.82 (+8.68%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$46.05 $44.70▲ +2.93%▲ +1.70%$40.82 (+11.36%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$46.05 $46.05· 0.00%▲ +0.01%$40.82 (+11.36%)
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$41.34 $40.10▼ −3.00%▼ −2.51%$40.82 (−1.26%)
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$43.61 $43.78▲ +0.39%▼ −0.63%$40.82 (−6.40%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 41m)

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Report published May 14, 2026