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6-K ·Filed May 14, 2026

PBR-A

PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago SEC0001292814-26-003033
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This is a routine annual sustainability disclosure with no new financial guidance or material operational changes. Monitor the Lightsource bp joint venture closing for regulatory approvals and the ramp-up of new FPSOs (P-79 through P-85) for production growth and emissions intensity trends. The $13 billion energy transition capex signals a gradual portfolio shift toward renewables and bioproducts, but near-term cash flows remain tied to oil production and Brent prices.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
PBR-A ▼ -8.92% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -8.92% · α vs SPY -12.51% · entry $18.05 → $16.44
Entry = T+0 close
May 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.33%
call -0.33% · α +0.89%
$17.99
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-0.39%
call -0.39% · α +0.33%
$17.98
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-9.58%
call -9.58% · α -8.73%
$16.32
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-8.92%
call -8.92% · α -12.51%
$16.44
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Petrobras filed its 2025 Climate Change and Energy Transition Supplement, a comprehensive TCFD-aligned report detailing its strategy, risks, and investments related to climate change and the energy transition. Key highlights include a $13 billion energy transition investment plan for 2026-2030, a 36% reduction in absolute operational emissions since 2015, and a strategic partnership with Lightsource bp for solar energy. The filing is a routine annual disclosure with no new material financial events or guidance changes.

Key Facts

  • Petrobras' 2026-2030 Business Plan allocates US$13 billion (12% of total investments) to energy transition initiatives.
  • Absolute operational GHG emissions reduced by 36% since 2015, reaching 50 million tCO2e in 2025.
  • Methane emissions reduced by 62% between 2015 and 2025.
  • Cumulative CO2 reinjection in pre-salt reservoirs exceeded 80 million tonnes in 2025.
  • Strategic partnership with Lightsource bp to develop solar projects in Brazil, with an initial pipeline of 1-1.5 GW.
  • E&P portfolio break-even Brent price is US$25/bbl, with extraction cost of US$6/bbl (first quartile of industry cost curve).
  • 99% of E&P investment projects show positive NPV under IEA APS 2024 scenario price assumptions.
  • GHG intensity in E&P was 14.7 kgCO2e/boe in 2025, 1% lower than 2024.
  • GHG intensity in Refining was 36.7 kgCO2e/CWT in 2025, 14.6% reduction vs 2015.
  • First SAF deliveries occurred in December 2025, with ISCC CORSIA certification at Reduc refinery.

Financial Impact

US$13 billion allocated to energy transition investments (2026-2030); US$593 million invested in low-carbon solutions in 2025; US$1.0 billion Decarbonization Fund budgeted; US$1.2 billion for low-carbon R&D&I; US$4.3 billion for operational decarbonization; US$7.9 billion for profitable diversification.

capexoperational emissionsGHG intensityrenewable capacity

Risk Factors

  • Implementation of Brazilian carbon market (SBCE) could impose additional costs; carbon pricing not yet incorporated into accounting estimates.
  • Accelerated energy transition scenarios (NZE) could reduce portfolio NPV by up to 53%, per company sensitivity analysis.
  • Faster-than-expected transition could accelerate decommissioning obligations, increasing present value by up to US$6.5 billion if brought forward 5 years.
  • Regulatory and technological risks related to decarbonization technology implementation and cost-effectiveness.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
84% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-003033
Document: 0001292814-26-003033-index-headers.html0001292814-26-003033
Document: 0001292814-26-003033-index.html0001292814-26-003033
Document: 0001292814-26-003033.txt0001292814-26-003033
17 reports for PBR-A
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +13.68%May 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PBR-A — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$16.09 $18.58▲ +15.48%▲ +8.62%$19.90 (+23.68%)
Jun 2, 2026
21w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.76 $16.02▼ −4.42%▼ −5.53%$19.90 (+18.74%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$16.77 $16.77· 0.00%▼ −1.18%$19.90 (+18.66%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$16.70 $17.22▲ +3.14%▲ +1.40%$19.90 (+19.19%)
May 26, 2026
22w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.10 $16.66▼ −2.59%▼ −5.31%$19.90 (+16.36%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$17.72 $16.37▼ −7.62%▼ −10.81%$19.90 (+12.30%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.72 $16.37▼ −7.62%▼ −10.81%$19.90 (+12.30%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$18.05 $16.44▼ −8.92%▼ −12.51%$19.90 (+10.25%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.90 $16.44▼ −8.14%▼ −11.72%$19.90 (+11.20%)
May 12, 2026
24w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$18.64 $16.48▼ −11.59%▼ −15.97%$19.90 (+6.76%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (12h 2m)

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Report published May 14, 2026