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6-K ·Filed May 12, 2026

PBR-A

PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001292814-26-002988
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Petrobras' Q1 earnings miss on the bottom line with declining net income and operating cash flow despite flat revenue. The sharp E&P profit decline (-13%) is a concern, though RT&M recovery provides some offset. The new crude oil export tax (12%) adds a recurring cost headwind. The R$ 9.03 billion interim dividend (R$ 0.70/share) provides yield support. Watch for Q2 2026 guidance and the impact of the export tax on margins.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
PBR-A ▼ -11.59% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +11.59% · α vs SPY +15.97% · entry $18.64 → $16.48
Entry = T+0 close
May 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.67%
call +4.67% · α +5.24%
$17.77
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.08%
$18.64
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-13.68%
call +13.68% · α +11.95%
$16.09
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-11.59%
call +11.59% · α +15.97%
$16.48
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Petrobras reported Q1 2026 results with consolidated net income of R$ 32.76 billion, down 7.3% YoY from R$ 35.33 billion, driven by lower gross profit and reduced equity-accounted earnings. Revenue was essentially flat at R$ 123.69 billion vs R$ 123.14 billion, but gross profit fell to R$ 59.60 billion from R$ 60.71 billion. Operating cash flow declined to R$ 43.98 billion from R$ 49.34 billion. The E&P segment saw a sharp profit drop to R$ 25.44 billion from R$ 29.23 billion, while RT&M surged to R$ 12.06 billion from R$ 2.16 billion. The Board approved R$ 9.03 billion in interim interest on capital for Q1 2026.

Key Facts

  • Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders: R$ 32.66 billion (Q1 2026) vs R$ 35.21 billion (Q1 2025), down 7.2%
  • Consolidated sales revenue: R$ 123.69 billion (Q1 2026) vs R$ 123.14 billion (Q1 2025), essentially flat
  • Consolidated gross profit: R$ 59.60 billion (Q1 2026) vs R$ 60.71 billion (Q1 2025), down 1.8%
  • E&P segment net income: R$ 25.44 billion (Q1 2026) vs R$ 29.23 billion (Q1 2025), down 13.0%
  • RT&M segment net income: R$ 12.06 billion (Q1 2026) vs R$ 2.16 billion (Q1 2025), up 459%
  • Operating cash flow (consolidated): R$ 43.98 billion (Q1 2026) vs R$ 49.34 billion (Q1 2025), down 10.9%
  • EPS: R$ 2.53 (Q1 2026) vs R$ 2.73 (Q1 2025), down 7.3%
  • Board approved R$ 9.03 billion interim interest on capital (R$ 0.70097272 per share) for Q1 2026
  • New export tax on crude oil (12%) and diesel (50%) effective March 12, 2026; R$ 639 million expense recognized
  • Net impairment reversals of R$ 2.14 billion, mainly from UFN-III fertilizer project resumption

Financial Impact

Net income declined R$ 2.55 billion YoY (7.2%); operating cash flow fell R$ 5.36 billion (10.9%); EPS dropped R$ 0.20 per share

net incomeepsoperating cash flowgross profit

Risk Factors

  • New 12% crude oil export tax and 50% diesel export tax effective March 2026 will pressure margins
  • E&P segment profit decline of 13% YoY signals potential production or cost challenges
  • Contingent liabilities increased to R$ 242.72 billion from R$ 224.57 billion, driven by tax disputes
  • Uncertain tax treatments total R$ 59.70 billion, up from R$ 55.56 billion
  • Net debt (parent company) increased to R$ 502.33 billion from R$ 515.46 billion

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-002988
Document: 0001292814-26-002988-index-headers.html0001292814-26-002988
Document: 0001292814-26-002988-index.html0001292814-26-002988
Document: 0001292814-26-002988.txt0001292814-26-002988
17 reports for PBR-A
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+60 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +3.14%May 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PBR-A — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$16.09 $18.58▲ +15.48%▲ +8.62%$19.96 (+24.05%)
Jun 2, 2026
21w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.76 $16.02▼ −4.42%▼ −5.53%$19.96 (+19.09%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$16.77 $16.77· 0.00%▼ −1.18%$19.96 (+19.02%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$16.70 $17.22▲ +3.14%▲ +1.40%$19.96 (+19.55%)
May 26, 2026
22w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.10 $16.66▼ −2.59%▼ −5.31%$19.96 (+16.71%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$17.72 $16.37▼ −7.62%▼ −10.81%$19.96 (+12.64%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.72 $16.37▼ −7.62%▼ −10.81%$19.96 (+12.64%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$18.05 $16.44▼ −8.92%▼ −12.51%$19.96 (+10.58%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.90 $16.44▼ −8.14%▼ −11.72%$19.96 (+11.53%)
May 12, 2026
24w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$18.64 $16.48▼ −11.59%▼ −15.97%$19.96 (+7.08%)
Showing 10 of 17

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Report published May 12, 2026