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8-K ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

OXY

OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed13d 22h ago SEC0001628280-26-065586
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The temporary Gulf of America curtailment is a minor operational hiccup, but the resolution timeline for the third-party pipeline constraint is the key variable. Monitor the Q3 2026 full earnings release for production volume impact and any guidance revision. The rising share count (1,012.8M diluted) continues the dilution trend from prior quarters.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
OXY ▲ +2.06% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +2.06% · α vs SPY +3.21% · entry $61.65 → $62.92
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Latest observation: T+8 +0.15% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.39%
call -0.39% · α +0.69%
$61.41
settled 13d ago
T+5d
+2.06%
call +2.06% · α +3.21%
$62.92
settled 7d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 14d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

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Executive Summary

Occidental Petroleum filed an 8-K with a pre-earnings update for Q3 2026, providing key operational metrics and estimates. Total company production is within guidance, but the company disclosed temporary Gulf of America production curtailment due to a third-party gas pipeline constraint, with partial restoration already underway. Crude oil collar settlements negatively impacted operating cash flow by $94 million, and average diluted shares outstanding rose to 1,012.8 million, up from 1,006.9 million in Q1 2026, signaling ongoing dilution.

Key Facts

  • Total company production for Q3 2026 is within Occidental's guidance range.
  • Temporary Gulf of America production curtailment in September due to a third-party gas pipeline constraint and maintenance; production partially restored.
  • Gulf of America net sales volumes estimated at 110 Mboed for Q3 2026.
  • Domestic lease operating cost estimated at $8.54/boe for Q3 2026.
  • Total company production oil percentage estimated at 48.8% for Q3 2026.
  • Average diluted shares outstanding for Q3 2026: 1,012.8 million shares.
  • Crude oil collar settlements negatively impacted operating cash flow before working capital by $94 million in Q3 2026.
  • Worldwide average realized oil price: $85.91/bbl; WTI average index price: $85.79/bbl; Brent average index price: $91.62/bbl.
  • Worldwide average realized NGL price: $24.63/bbl; domestic natural gas: $1.61/Mcf.

Financial Impact

Crude oil collar settlements reduced operating cash flow by $94 million in Q3 2026; Gulf of America production curtailment temporarily impacted volumes.

operating cash flowproduction volumesdiluted shares outstanding

Risk Factors

  • Extended Gulf of America production curtailment if third-party pipeline constraint is not resolved quickly.
  • Further dilution from warrant exercises or equity issuance as share count continues to rise.
  • Commodity price volatility and its impact on cash flow, especially given the $94 million negative collar settlement.

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-065586
Document: oxy-20261013.htm0001628280-26-065586
Document: 0001628280-26-065586-index-headers.html0001628280-26-065586
Document: 0001628280-26-065586-index.html0001628280-26-065586
Document: 0001628280-26-065586.txt0001628280-26-065586
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-065586
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Oct 26, 2026
today
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$63.99awaiting T+1—$64.07 (+0.13%)
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$64.17 $64.07▼ −0.16%▼ −0.87%$64.07 (−0.16%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$61.65 $61.41▼ −0.39%▲ +0.69%$64.07 (+3.93%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$58.08 $58.31▲ +0.40%▼ −0.28%$64.07 (+10.31%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$55.47 $55.08▼ −0.71%▼ −2.47%$64.07 (+15.50%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$57.07 $55.48▼ −2.79%▼ −4.20%$64.07 (+12.27%)
May 1, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$58.73 $60.28▲ +2.64%▲ +2.98%$64.07 (+9.10%)
Apr 1, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$62.93awaiting T+1—$64.07 (+1.82%)
Mar 5, 2026
33w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$54.19 $54.98▲ +1.46%▲ +0.61%$64.07 (+18.24%)
Mar 5, 2026
33w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$53.24 $54.19▲ +1.78%▲ +3.10%$64.07 (+20.35%)
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Report published Oct 13, 2026