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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 19, 2026

OXLCO

Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

This NAV collapse erodes the asset coverage cushion protecting OXLCO's $25 liquidation preference. With the common NAV now $10.56 vs the ~$25 preferred liquidation basis, the preferred shares trade on credit risk, not yield. Watch for any future CLO equity cash flow deterioration or debt downgrades. The monthly preferred dividends are declared but the sustainability depends on CLO collateral performance, which is clearly under severe stress.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
OXLCO ▲ +1.78% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -1.78% · α vs SPY +4.51% · entry $23.65 → $24.07
Entry = T+0 close
May 19, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.23%
call -0.23% · α +0.81%
$23.71
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+2.03%
call -2.03% · α +0.22%
$24.13
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+2.66%
call -2.66% · α -1.68%
$24.28
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+1.78%
call -1.78% · α +4.51%
$24.07
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Oxford Lane Capital reported a severe quarterly loss of $3.74 per share from operations for Q4 fiscal 2025, driven by massive unrealized depreciation of $381.4M on CLO equity positions. NAV collapsed from $15.51 to $10.56 per share sequentially. While Core NII of $1.03/share remained positive, the GAAP results reflect deep CLO market stress that directly threatens the security of the preferred dividends on OXLCO.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.55
Revenue
$94.0M
Rating
strong miss

Key Facts

  • Net decrease in net assets from operations of $365.3M ($3.74/share) for the quarter ended March 31, 2026
  • Net asset value (NAV) per share collapsed to $10.56 from $15.51 in the prior quarter, a 32% decline
  • Net unrealized depreciation of $381.4M on CLO equity investments drove the loss
  • Weighted average effective yield on CLO equity fell to 11.7% from 13.8%
  • Weighted average cash distribution yield on CLO equity fell to 16.7% from 19.0%
  • Core NII was $100.7M or $1.03/share (vs GAAP NII of $54.5M); the $46.2M 'CLO equity adjustments' bridge suggests cash distributions are far outstripping GAAP income recognition, a potential pressure on future distributable income
  • Management's preliminary April 30 NAV estimate of $11.12-$11.42 is still 27-29% below the Dec 31 level

Financial Impact

Net realized losses of $38.4M and unrealized depreciation of $381.4M on CLO equity investments destroyed ~$420M of shareholder equity in one quarter

nav_per_sharenet_investment_incomeunrealized_appreciationeffective_yield

Risk Factors

  • NAV depletion erodes asset coverage for OXLCO preferred shares — risk of future dividend suspension if the trend continues
  • Sustained CLO market dislocation could lead to further mark-to-market losses and pressure the issuer's ability to service its term preferred dividends
  • The 32% NAV decline in one quarter signals severe portfolio stress that may not be fully reflected in market prices for the preferreds yet
  • Core NII / GAAP NII gap of $46M per quarter suggests tax-basis income may not cover the preferred dividends as cushion narrows

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3297430
7 reports for OXLCO
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for OXLCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.45awaiting T+60—$23.58 (+0.55%)
May 19, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$23.65 $24.07▼ −1.78%▲ +4.51%$23.58 (+0.30%)
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.61 $24.16▲ +2.33%▼ −2.45%$23.58 (−0.13%)
Apr 1, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.13 $23.66▲ +2.30%▼ −11.86%$23.58 (+1.95%)
Mar 13, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$23.30 $24.13▲ +3.56%▼ −8.06%$23.58 (+1.20%)
Mar 12, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.30 $24.13▲ +3.56%▼ −7.14%$23.58 (+1.20%)
Mar 10, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.28 $24.23▲ +4.08%▼ −7.44%$23.58 (+1.28%)
Showing 7 of 7

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Report published May 19, 2026