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F-1/A ·Filed Mar 16, 2026

ORIS

ORIENTAL RISE HOLDINGS Ltd
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonimmediate Processed7mo ago SEC0001213900-26-028302
Foreign IPO amendment
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should be cautious of the significant dilution risk from the zero-cash exercise warrants and the company's declining financial performance. The stock could face downward pressure from both fundamental deterioration and potential Nasdaq delisting concerns due to the offering's structure. Monitor for any regulatory actions from Chinese authorities that could impact the company's ability to operate or list in the U.S.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ORIS ▲ +29.78% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -29.78% · α vs SPY -19.92% · entry $0.4030 → $0.5230
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.70%
call -6.70% · α -8.10%
$0.4300
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+88.83%
call -88.83% · α -91.49%
$0.7610
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
+41.94%
call -41.94% · α -37.64%
$0.5720
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+29.78%
call -29.78% · α -19.92%
$0.5230
settled 5mo ago

Executive Summary

Oriental Rise Holdings Ltd, a Cayman Islands-based tea producer operating in China, is conducting a public offering of 7.73 million units, each containing one ordinary share (or pre-funded warrant) and one common warrant. The offering includes highly dilutive warrants with a zero-cash exercise feature, allowing holders to receive two shares for one upon exercise, and a price reset mechanism. The company has experienced a significant revenue decline of 37.8% in 2024, with net profit falling 81.9%, and faces substantial risks related to its Chinese operations, corporate structure, and the dilutive nature of the offering.

Key Financial Metrics

Price Range
$0.8926 per Unit
Rev Growth
-37.8%

Key Facts

  • Revenue declined 37.8% from $24.1M in 2023 to $15.0M in 2024, with net profit falling 81.9% from $11.5M to $2.1M.
  • The offering includes common warrants with a zero-cash exercise feature, allowing holders to receive two shares for one without payment, which could lead to massive dilution.
  • The company is subject to significant Chinese regulatory risks, including the potential for the CSRC to exert more control over overseas offerings and foreign investment.
  • The company's corporate structure involves a direct holding structure through BVI and Hong Kong subsidiaries, which could be disallowed by PRC authorities.
  • The company faces risks related to its inability to obtain forest rights certificates for approximately 4.94 million square meters of tea gardens, which could affect its operations.

Financial Impact

The company's revenue declined 37.8% from $24.1M in 2023 to $15.0M in 2024, with net profit falling 81.9% from $11.5M to $2.1M. The offering could lead to significant dilution, with up to 30.9 million additional shares potentially issuable.

revenuenet incomedilution

Risk Factors

  • Significant revenue and profit decline in 2024
  • Highly dilutive warrant structure with zero-cash exercise feature
  • Regulatory risks from Chinese authorities regarding overseas listings
  • Corporate structure risks related to PRC approval and forest rights certificates
  • Potential Nasdaq delisting due to the dilutive nature of the offering

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
F-1/A Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-028302
Document: ea028192201ex4-2.htm0001213900-26-028302
Document: ea028192201ex23-1.htm0001213900-26-028302
Document: 0001213900-26-028302-index-headers.html0001213900-26-028302
Document: 0001213900-26-028302-index.html0001213900-26-028302
Document: 0001213900-26-028302.txt0001213900-26-028302
8 reports for ORIS
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+5▲ +40.74%Mar 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ORIS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5234 $0.5610▼ −7.18%▼ −4.77%—
May 18, 2026
23w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4100 $0.4600▼ −12.20%▼ −10.58%—
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
20-F
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.4810 $0.4500▲ +6.44%▲ +8.17%—
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.4970 $0.4840▲ +2.62%▲ +3.70%—
Apr 15, 2026
27w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.29 $1.80▼ −21.19%▼ −22.80%—
Mar 19, 2026
31w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.5270 $0.8520▲ +61.67%▲ +63.88%—
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
F-1/A
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.4030 $0.7610▼ −88.83%▼ −91.49%—
Mar 10, 2026
32w ago
F-1
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.6800 $0.4030▲ +40.74%▲ +39.83%—
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

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Report published Mar 16, 2026