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6-K ·Filed May 7, 2026

ORIO

Orion Digital Corp.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001477932-26-002835
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The revenue decline and cautious full-year guidance (modestly lower YoY revenue, H2 EBITDA lower than H1) create headwinds despite strong cash position and product launch. Monitor Q2 results for loan origination reduction impact and Intelligent Investing adoption metrics. The $10M buyback authorization provides downside support but is not a catalyst.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ORIO ▼ -37.43% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -37.43% · α vs SPY -41.26% · entry $1.03 → $0.6445
Entry = T+0 close
May 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.88%
call -3.88% · α -4.71%
$0.9900
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-8.64%
call -8.64% · α -10.15%
$0.9410
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-9.71%
call -9.71% · α -12.84%
$0.9300
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-37.43%
call -37.43% · α -41.26%
$0.6445
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Orion Digital reported Q1 2026 results showing total revenue declined 2.7% YoY to $16.9M, while net loss improved 51% to $5.8M. Adjusted EBITDA grew 46% to $1.5M and cash & restricted cash surged 97% to $25.6M, but the company guided for full-year 2026 revenue to be modestly lower YoY and Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $2.5M-$3.5M, with H2 expected to be lower than H1 due to increased investment. The new Intelligent Investing app launch is a positive product milestone, but the revenue decline and cautious guidance temper the outlook.

Key Facts

  • Total revenue declined 2.7% YoY to $16.9M in Q1 2026 from $17.3M in Q1 2025
  • Net loss improved 51% YoY to $5.8M from $11.9M
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 46% YoY to $1.5M from $1.1M
  • Cash & restricted cash increased 97% YoY to $25.6M from $13.0M
  • Wealth AUM grew 14% YoY to $495.6M; Wealth revenue up 12% to $3.9M
  • EU payments volume grew 12% YoY to $2.7B; adjusted payments revenue flat at $2.3M
  • New Intelligent Investing app released on App Store
  • Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance: $2.5M to $3.5M
  • Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance: $6.0M to $7.0M
  • Consolidated revenue guided modestly lower YoY for full-year 2026
  • Q2 loan originations to be reduced ~50% from Q1 levels; H2 expected to be lower than H1
  • ~7% of shares retired since June 2022 under buyback program; $10M authorization remaining

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of ~$0.4M YoY; net loss improvement of ~$6.1M; cash increase of ~$12.6M; Adjusted EBITDA improvement of ~$0.5M

revenuenet lossadjusted EBITDAcashAUM

Risk Factors

  • Revenue declining YoY with guidance for further decline in full-year 2026
  • H2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA expected lower than H1 due to increased investment spend
  • Q2 loan originations cut ~50% may pressure near-term cash flow generation
  • Net loss persists despite improvement; company still unprofitable on GAAP basis
  • Forward-looking guidance based on non-IFRS measures not reconciled to IFRS

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001477932-26-002835
Document: orio_6k.htm0001477932-26-002835
Document: 0001477932-26-002835-index-headers.html0001477932-26-002835
Document: 0001477932-26-002835-index.html0001477932-26-002835
Document: 0001477932-26-002835.txt0001477932-26-002835
6 reports for ORIO
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +25.22%Jun 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ORIO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.9800 $1.04▲ +6.12%▲ +4.17%$0.8949 (−8.68%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.6725 $0.8907▲ +32.45%▲ +31.23%$0.8949 (+33.07%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.8689 $0.8649▲ +0.46%▲ +1.85%$0.8949 (−2.99%)
Jun 23, 2026
17w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.8715 $0.8074▼ −7.36%▼ −9.06%$0.8949 (+2.69%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.03 $0.9410▼ −8.64%▼ −10.15%$0.8949 (−13.12%)
Apr 2, 2026
29w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.9400 $1.00▲ +6.38%▲ +2.76%$0.8949 (−4.80%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

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Report published May 7, 2026