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8-K ·Filed Aug 12, 2026

OCTV

Octave Intelligence plc
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-055939
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The headline GAAP loss is non-cash and the recurring revenue/ARR growth story is intact, but the $1.67B goodwill impairment confirms the post-spin market cap is below book value, a structural overhang. Watch for Q3 guidance delivery on the 2-4% organic growth trajectory and whether the adjusted operating margin can stabilize at 30% as guided. The flat adjusted EPS YoY despite ARR growth suggests margin pressure from the VXG acquisition and stand-up costs.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
OCTV ▼ -9.59% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -9.59% · α vs SPY -7.69% · entry $19.08 → $17.25
Next anchor: T+60d in 8d
Latest observation: T+51 +28.63% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.92%
call -0.92% · α -1.61%
$18.91
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-3.20%
call -3.20% · α -2.75%
$18.47
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-9.59%
call -9.59% · α -7.69%
$17.25
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 8d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Octave Intelligence reported Q2 2026 total revenue of $398M, a 4% YoY decline, but recurring revenue grew 6% to $283M and ARR reached $1.143B (+7% YoY). GAAP EPS was -$7.34 due to $2.135B in non-cash impairment charges, while adjusted EPS was $0.36 (flat YoY). The company provided initial Q3 guidance of $400-410M revenue and full-year guidance of $1.635-1.665B, implying modest organic growth, but the massive goodwill impairment signals the post-spin market cap remains below carrying value, a structural concern for the equity story.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$7.34
Revenue
$398.4M
-4.0% YoY
Rating
in line
Guidance
$1.635B-$1.665B
initiated
Free Cash Flow
$93.5M
Gross Margin
76.7%

Key Facts

  • Total revenue of $398M, down 4% YoY as-reported and 1% on an organic constant currency basis
  • Recurring revenue of $283M, up 6% YoY; ARR of $1.143B, up 7% YoY
  • GAAP net loss of $1.97B driven by $2.135B in non-cash impairment charges ($1.671B goodwill, $464M trademarks)
  • Adjusted EPS of $0.36, flat YoY; adjusted operating margin contracted to 29% from 31%
  • Cash flow from operations of $125M and free cash flow of $93M, both up YoY
  • Q3 2026 guidance: revenue $400-410M; Full-year 2026 guidance: revenue $1.635-1.665B, ARR $1.185-1.205B, adjusted operating margin 30%
  • Completed spin-off from Hexagon AB in May 2026 and acquired VXG Inc.

Financial Impact

GAAP net loss of $1.97B from $2.135B non-cash impairment charges; adjusted net income of $95M vs $98M YoY

revenueepsnet incomegoodwilloperating margin

Risk Factors

  • Goodwill impairment signals market cap below carrying value, creating potential for further impairments if the stock does not recover
  • Total revenue declining 4% YoY as the business model shifts from license/services to recurring subscriptions
  • Adjusted operating margin declining to 29% from 31% YoY, with Q3 guidance at 27%
  • Leverage of $644M debt against $304M cash post-spin, with $625M cash payment to Hexagon in Q2

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Analyst Consensus
58% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-055939
Document: octv-20260812.htm0001628280-26-055939
Document: 0001628280-26-055939-index-headers.html0001628280-26-055939
Document: 0001628280-26-055939-index.html0001628280-26-055939
Document: 0001628280-26-055939.txt0001628280-26-055939
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-055939
7 reports for OCTV
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

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Reports for OCTV — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$19.08awaiting T+60—$21.73 (+13.89%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$19.08awaiting T+60—$21.73 (+13.89%)
Jul 14, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$16.62 $19.72▲ +18.65%▲ +15.28%$21.73 (+30.75%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$17.23 $19.03▲ +10.45%▲ +8.81%$21.73 (+26.12%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.97 $19.85▼ −0.60%▼ −2.48%$21.73 (+8.81%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.97 $19.85▼ −0.60%▼ −2.48%$21.73 (+8.81%)
May 25, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$17.76 $18.47▲ +4.00%▲ +1.27%$21.73 (+22.35%)
Showing 7 of 7

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Report published Aug 12, 2026