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8-K ·Filed May 12, 2026

NXT

Nextpower Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001852131-26-000014
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The Q4 YoY decline in revenue and EPS is a clear negative signal, but the raised FY27 guidance and record backlog suggest the weakness may be timing-related. Watch the Q1 FY27 earnings call for evidence of revenue re-acceleration and the status of the power conversion acquisition (FDI approval). The COO transition is neutral but the new COO's background in solar recycling and Amazon operations is a positive for operational scale.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
NXT ▼ -24.28% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +24.28% · α vs SPY +28.72% · entry $136.37 → $103.26
Entry = T+0 close
May 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.00%
$136.37
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-6.78%
call +6.78% · α +5.63%
$127.12
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-12.24%
call +12.24% · α +11.63%
$119.68
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-24.28%
call +24.28% · α +28.72%
$103.26
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Nextpower reported Q4 FY26 revenue of $880.5M (down 4.7% YoY from $924.3M) and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.97 (down 7.6% YoY from $1.05), missing consensus estimates of $0.93 EPS on $829.8M revenue. The company raised its FY27 revenue outlook to $3.8-$4.1B (from $3.6-$3.8B) and announced a COO transition, but the headline YoY declines in both revenue and earnings make this a bearish report despite the raised guidance.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.97
est $0.93 · +4.3%
Revenue
$880.5M
est $829.8M · +6.1% · -4.7% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$3.8B-$4.1B
raised
Free Cash Flow
$513.6M
Gross Margin
33.8%

Key Facts

  • Q4 FY26 revenue $880.5M, down 4.7% YoY from $924.3M
  • Q4 FY26 GAAP diluted EPS $0.97, down 7.6% YoY from $1.05
  • Q4 FY26 GAAP net income $150.6M, down 4.6% YoY from $157.8M
  • FY26 full-year revenue $3.56B, up 20% YoY from $2.96B
  • FY26 full-year GAAP diluted EPS $3.84, up 10.7% YoY from $3.47
  • Raised FY27 revenue outlook to $3.8-$4.1B from $3.6-$3.8B
  • Raised FY27 adjusted diluted EPS outlook to $4.21-$4.59
  • Record FY26 revenue and record backlog of over $5.25B
  • COO transition: Robert Vinje appointed, Marco Miller moves to Chief Project Development Officer
  • Announced agreement to acquire power conversion product lines (subject to FDI approval)

Financial Impact

Q4 revenue miss of ~$50.7M vs consensus; GAAP EPS beat of $0.04 vs consensus; FY27 revenue guidance midpoint $3.95B vs prior $3.7B midpoint

revenueepsnet incomeguidance

Risk Factors

  • Q4 revenue declined 4.7% YoY despite full-year growth of 20% — the trend is decelerating
  • GAAP operating income fell 21.4% YoY in Q4 ($153.6M vs $195.3M)
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin compressed to 22.9% in Q4 from 26.2% a year ago
  • Power conversion acquisition requires Spanish government FDI approval — execution risk
  • FY27 guidance includes $50M incremental costs for power conversion market entry, pressuring near-term margins

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (32 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001852131-26-000014
Document: nxt-20260510.htm0001852131-26-000014
Document: 0001852131-26-000014-index-headers.html0001852131-26-000014
Document: 0001852131-26-000014-index.html0001852131-26-000014
Document: 0001852131-26-000014.txt0001852131-26-000014
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001852131-26-000014
54 reports for NXT
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate @ T+60 8 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 13 best @ T+60▲ +41.52%Jun 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NXT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$78.89awaiting T+60—$79.44 (+0.70%)
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
PTAB Trial
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$76.48awaiting T+60—$79.44 (+3.87%)
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$83.07awaiting T+60—$79.44 (+4.37%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$84.81awaiting T+60—$79.44 (−6.33%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$104.55awaiting T+60—$79.44 (−24.02%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$103.67awaiting T+60—$79.44 (−23.37%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$102.91awaiting T+60—$79.44 (+22.81%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$102.91awaiting T+60—$79.44 (−22.81%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$102.91awaiting T+60—$79.44 (+22.81%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.64 $78.03▼ −35.32%▼ −38.57%$79.44 (−34.15%)
Showing 10 of 54

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published May 12, 2026