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8-K ·Filed Oct 5, 2026

NXH

NEIGHBORHOOD INTELLIGENCE, INC.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed22d 14h ago SEC0001140361-26-038532
8-K material event: Items 1.02
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The termination removes near-term M&A overhang but also eliminates the Fathom acquisition thesis. Watch for Q3 2026 actual results (due Nov 2026) to confirm whether the preliminary gross margin >30% and cost synergy acceleration materialize. The blockchain asset retention signals management believes those assets are undervalued — any positive tZERO news would be a catalyst.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
NXH ▼ -21.36% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -21.36% · α vs SPY -21.78% · entry $2.06 → $1.62
Next anchor: T+20d in 5d
Latest observation: T+14 -2.48% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-11.16%
call -11.16% · α -11.71%
$1.83
settled 22d ago
T+5d
-21.36%
call -21.36% · α -21.78%
$1.62
settled 16d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 5d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Neighborhood Intelligence (NXH) and Fathom Holdings (FTHM) mutually terminated their merger agreement, citing that current valuations do not reflect fair value for either company. NXH will retain its blockchain asset portfolio, and the companies plan to explore a strategic collaboration including data sharing. Separately, NXH provided a preliminary Q3 2026 business update indicating gross margin is expected to exceed 30%, ahead of its prior target, and that cost reductions and merger synergies are ahead of schedule, while the company does not anticipate pursuing additional acquisitions and will focus on organic growth.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.53
est −$0.42 · -26.2%
Revenue
$361.2M
est $494.9M · -27.0% · +28.0% YoY
Rating
miss
Free Cash Flow
-$54.7K
Gross Margin
26.8%

Key Facts

  • Mutual termination of merger with Fathom Holdings (FTHM) — no break fee disclosed
  • NXH retains ownership and control of its blockchain and digital asset investments (tZERO)
  • Preliminary Q3 2026 gross margin expected to exceed 30%, ahead of prior target
  • Cost reductions and merger synergies developing faster than originally expected
  • Company does not anticipate pursuing additional acquisitions; focusing on organic growth and integration
  • Q2 2026 (June 30, 2026) GAAP net loss per share: $-0.53 vs consensus $-0.42 (25.4% miss
  • Q2 2026 net revenue $361.2M, up 28.0% YoY from $282.3M
  • Active customers 6.4M, up 47% YoY; orders delivered 2.8M, up 117% YoY

Financial Impact

Q2 2026 revenue $361.2M (+28% YoY); net loss $-39.5M; preliminary Q3 2026 gross margin >30%

revenuegross marginnet lossactive customersorders delivered

Risk Factors

  • Q2 2026 EPS miss of -25.4% vs consensus signals ongoing profitability challenges
  • No new acquisitions means growth depends entirely on organic execution and integration of recent deals (Container Store, Elfa, SFV Services)
  • Blockchain asset values (tZERO) are volatile and may not realize expected future value
  • Data-sharing collaboration with Fathom is exploratory and may not produce material revenue

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-038532
Document: ef20083268_ex99-1.htm0001140361-26-038532
Document: 0001140361-26-038532-index-headers.html0001140361-26-038532
Document: 0001140361-26-038532-index.html0001140361-26-038532
Document: 0001140361-26-038532.txt0001140361-26-038532
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001140361-26-038532
9 reports for NXH
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +21.08%Aug 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NXH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.60awaiting T+5—$1.60 (+0.06%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.62 $1.40▼ −13.58%▼ −14.03%$1.60 (−1.23%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.78 $1.62▼ −8.99%▼ −8.01%$1.60 (−10.11%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.78 $1.62▲ +8.99%▲ +8.01%$1.60 (+10.11%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.83 $1.63▲ +10.93%▲ +10.79%$1.60 (+12.57%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$1.83 $1.63▼ −10.93%▼ −10.79%$1.60 (−12.57%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.06 $1.62▼ −21.36%▼ −21.78%$1.60 (−22.33%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$2.06 $1.62▼ −21.36%▼ −21.78%$1.60 (−22.33%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
DEFA14A / EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.27 $4.01▲ +6.09%▲ +5.70%$1.60 (+62.53%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 29m)

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Report published Oct 5, 2026