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EFFECT ·Filed Aug 25, 2026

NWGL

CL Workshop Group Ltd
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002744
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effectiveness of this massive resale registration, combined with active Nasdaq delisting risk, creates a persistent bearish overhang. Monitor for any selling shareholder filings (Form 144) and the company's compliance plan for the bid-price deficiency. The warrant overhang (3x the initial placement) means any share price appreciation will likely be capped by selling pressure.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
NWGL ▲ +110.13% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -110.13% · α vs SPY -109.16% · entry $0.6710 → $1.41
Next anchor: T+60d in 22d
Latest observation: T+37 +57.28% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 25, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+26.26%
call -26.26% · α -26.24%
$0.8472
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+75.86%
call -75.86% · α -76.40%
$1.18
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+110.13%
call -110.13% · α -109.16%
$1.41
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 22d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective CL Workshop Group Ltd's F-1 registration statement (File No. 333-298221) on August 24, 2026. This effectiveness clears the way for selling shareholders to resell up to 98.4M Class A ordinary shares (12.3M ADSs) and up to 295.2M warrant shares (36.9M warrant ADSs) from a July 2026 private placement, creating a massive potential dilution overhang of up to 393.6M shares on a $17M market cap. The company simultaneously faces Nasdaq delisting risk due to a sub-$1.00 bid price, making this a bearish catalyst for existing common shareholders.

Key Facts

  • SEC declared F-1 effective on August 24, 2026 (File No. 333-298221)
  • Registration covers resale of up to 98.4M Class A ordinary shares (12.3M ADSs) and up to 295.2M warrant shares (36.9M warrant ADSs)
  • Selling shareholders from July 2026 private placement are the registrants
  • Company has a $17M market cap and faces Nasdaq delisting due to sub-$1.00 bid price
  • Warrant overhang is 3x the initial placement size

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of up to 393.6M shares on a $17M market cap — a massive overhang relative to current float

dilutionshare pricemarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution from up to 393.6M shares hitting the market
  • Nasdaq delisting risk due to sub-$1.00 bid price
  • Selling shareholders may begin immediate distributions
  • Warrant overhang creates persistent downward pressure on share price

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Lumber & Wood Products (No Furniture)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002744
Document: 9999999995-26-002744-index.html9999999995-26-002744
Document: 9999999995-26-002744.txt9999999995-26-002744
12 reports for NWGL
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 7 best @ T+5▲ +79.12%Oct 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NWGL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.12 $1.19▲ +6.25%▲ +6.26%$0.0870 (−92.23%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.25 $1.16▲ +6.83%▲ +6.40%$0.0870 (+93.01%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.25 $1.30▼ −4.00%▼ −3.45%$0.0870 (+93.04%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.25 $1.30▼ −4.00%▼ −3.45%$0.0870 (+93.04%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.8501 $1.18▲ +38.81%▲ +39.49%$0.0870 (−89.77%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.8276 $0.8666▲ +4.71%▲ +4.94%$0.0870 (−89.49%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.6710 $0.8472▼ −26.26%▼ −26.24%$0.0870 (+87.03%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
F-1/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5920 $0.5800▲ +2.03%▲ +2.44%$0.0870 (+85.30%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
F-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3190 $0.3503▼ −9.81%▼ −9.56%$0.0870 (+72.73%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3060 $0.3036▲ +0.78%▲ +0.75%$0.0870 (+71.57%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

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Report published Aug 25, 2026