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6-K ·Filed Aug 14, 2026

NTB

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001653242-26-000083
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The CIBC Caribbean acquisition is a transformative, scale-building deal with clear financial targets (15% EPS accretion, 20%+ IRR) and a strong strategic rationale. The stock should re-rate as the market prices in the accretion and reduced execution risk. Key catalysts: (1) shareholder vote on September 18, (2) regulatory approvals through H1 2027, (3) subordinated debt pricing in Q4 2026/Q1 2027. Monitor for any regulatory pushback or minority shareholder election outcomes that could shift the final ownership split.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
NTB ▼ -5.30% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -5.30% · α vs SPY -3.33% · entry $62.96 → $59.62
Next anchor: T+60d in 13d
Latest observation: T+49 -7.07% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.30%
call -2.30% · α -1.63%
$61.51
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-7.02%
call -7.02% · α -5.83%
$58.54
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-5.30%
call -5.30% · α -3.33%
$59.62
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 13d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Butterfield filed its 2026 proxy statement, which includes a proposal (Proposal 4) to approve the issuance of up to ~15 million new shares (11.58M to CIBC plus 1.36M-3.47M to minority holders) as partial consideration for the $1.794B acquisition of CIBC Caribbean. The deal is expected to be ~15% accretive to cash EPS in year one and ~10% accretive to TBVPS, with $49M in annual pre-tax cost savings. The proxy also contains routine proposals (auditor ratification, director elections, general share issuance mandate). The AGM is set for September 18, 2026, and the transaction is expected to close in H1 2027.

Key Facts

  • Butterfield is acquiring CIBC Caribbean for $1.794B (1.06x tangible book value, ~8.6x 2025 adjusted earnings)
  • Consideration is ~61% cash ($1.0B to CIBC) and ~39% stock (11.58M new shares to CIBC, plus up to 3.47M to minority holders)
  • Transaction expected to be ~15% accretive to cash EPS in first full year and ~10% accretive to tangible book value per share
  • Identified $49M in annual pre-tax cost savings to be phased in over four years
  • Combined entity will have ~$29B in total assets, ~$25B in deposits, #1 market position in five Caribbean jurisdictions
  • Existing Butterfield shareholders expected to own 72.3%-75.2% of the enlarged group; CIBC will hold ~22% and nominate two directors
  • Cash portion funded from existing resources and a planned ~$700M subordinated debt offering with underwriting commitments
  • AGM is September 18, 2026; transaction expected to close in H1 2027, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals

Financial Impact

Purchase price of $1.794B; ~$1.0B cash to CIBC plus ~$117.5M to minority holders; ~$700M subordinated debt offering planned; 15% EPS accretion and 10% TBVPS accretion expected in year one

revenueepstangible book valuetotal assetsdepositscost savings

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory approvals may be delayed or impose conditions that alter deal economics
  • Integration of 2,700 employees across 10 jurisdictions carries execution risk
  • Minority shareholder elections could shift the cash/stock mix and final ownership percentages
  • Subordinated debt market conditions could affect financing terms or availability
  • Potential loss of key CIBC Caribbean personnel during integration

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Commercial Banks, NEC
Analyst Consensus
57% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (NTB) — Batch item 10001653242-26-000083
Document: 0001653242-26-000083-index-headers.html0001653242-26-000083
Document: 0001653242-26-000083-index.html0001653242-26-000083
Document: 0001653242-26-000083.txt0001653242-26-000083
6-K Filing (NTB) — Batch item 50001653242-26-000083
12 reports for NTB
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +5.93%May 28, 2026
Filters
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Reports for NTB — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$59.15 $58.35▼ −1.35%▼ −0.44%$60.27 (+1.89%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$59.13 $58.95▼ −0.30%▼ −0.59%$60.27 (+1.93%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$59.13 $58.95▲ +0.30%▲ +0.59%$60.27 (−1.93%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$58.66 $59.41▼ −1.28%▼ −1.15%$60.27 (−2.74%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$62.96 $59.62▼ −5.30%▼ −3.33%$60.27 (−4.27%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$62.96 $59.62▼ −5.30%▼ −3.33%$60.27 (−4.27%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$62.00 $60.97▼ −1.66%▼ −2.26%$60.27 (−2.79%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$62.00 $60.97▼ −1.66%▼ −2.26%$60.27 (−2.79%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$61.29 $59.30▲ +3.25%▲ +6.23%$60.27 (+1.66%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$61.29 $59.30▼ −3.25%▼ −6.23%$60.27 (−1.66%)
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published Aug 14, 2026