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8-K ·Filed May 12, 2026

NPCE

NeuroPace Inc
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001528287-26-000019
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The guidance raise and strong core RNS growth validate commercial execution. Watch for NAUTILUS PMA approval (mid-2026) as a major catalyst that could expand TAM into IGE. Cash burn remains manageable with $54.8M liquidity. Monitor Q2 for DIXI discontinued ops impact and continued margin expansion.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
NPCE ▼ -6.20% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -6.20% · α vs SPY -10.64% · entry $15.81 → $14.83
Entry = T+0 close
May 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.00%
$15.81
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+0.25%
call +0.25% · α +1.41%
$15.85
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+0.19%
call +0.19% · α +0.80%
$15.84
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-6.20%
call -6.20% · α -10.64%
$14.83
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

NeuroPace reported Q1 2026 non-GAAP revenue (excluding DIXI) of $22.0M, up 20.1% YoY, and raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $99M-$101M from $98M-$100M. GAAP net loss widened slightly to ($6.7M) vs ($6.6M) a year ago, but adjusted EBITDA loss improved to ($3.3M) from ($4.1M). The guidance raise and continued strong RNS System growth (19.5% YoY) signal accelerating commercial momentum ahead of a potential IGE label expansion in mid-2026.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.20
est −$0.19 · -5.3%
Revenue
$22.1M
est $21.7M · +1.7% · -2.0% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$99M-$101M
raised
Gross Margin
81.8%

Key Facts

  • Non-GAAP revenue (ex-DIXI) $22.0M, +20.1% YoY vs $18.3M
  • RNS System revenue $21.7M, +19.5% YoY
  • Raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $99M-$101M from $98M-$100M
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to ($3.3M) from ($4.1M) YoY
  • Non-GAAP gross margin 82.5% vs 83.6% (prior year included 120bp one-time benefit)
  • GAAP net loss ($6.7M) vs ($6.6M) YoY
  • Completed FDA mid-cycle review for NAUTILUS PMA supplement (IGE indication)
  • New all-time highs in active prescribers, accounts, and patient pipeline
  • Cash & investments $54.8M at quarter end vs $61.2M prior quarter

Financial Impact

Revenue guidance raised by $1M at midpoint to $100M, implying ~21-23% core RNS growth. Adjusted EBITDA guidance improved by $1M to ($8.5M)-($9.5M).

revenueguidanceadjusted EBITDAgross margin

Risk Factors

  • NAUTILUS PMA approval delay or denial would remove IGE expansion catalyst
  • Cash burn continues — $6.4M decline in cash/investments in Q1
  • Operating expenses growing faster than revenue (non-GAAP opex +10.5% YoY vs revenue +20.1%)
  • Dilution risk from potential future equity raises given negative cash flow

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
93% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001528287-26-000019
Document: neuropace-8xkq12026earning.htm0001528287-26-000019
Document: 0001528287-26-000019-index-headers.html0001528287-26-000019
Document: 0001528287-26-000019-index.html0001528287-26-000019
Document: 0001528287-26-000019.txt0001528287-26-000019
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001528287-26-000019
2 reports for NPCE
Performance horizon
Filters
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Reports for NPCE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
May 12, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.81 $14.83▼ −6.20%▼ −10.64%$13.02 (−17.65%)
Apr 21, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.98 $16.08▼ −5.30%▼ −10.08%$13.02 (−23.32%)
Showing 2 of 2

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 31m)

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Report published May 12, 2026