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S-1 ·Filed May 11, 2026

NP

Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001628280-26-033573
IPO registration
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This is a secondary sale by insiders, not a primary capital raise. The concurrent share repurchase partially offsets dilution but signals insider liquidity demand. Monitor the offering price relative to the $29.92 close; a discount could pressure the stock. The company's strong fundamentals (32% revenue growth, 59% EBITDA margins) provide a floor, but the concentrated insider selling and dual-class governance are structural overhangs. Watch for the 90-day lock-up expiration post-offering.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
NP ▲ +15.03% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +15.03% · α vs SPY +10.65% · entry $28.54 → $32.83
Entry = T+0 close
May 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.54%
$28.54
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-4.63%
call -4.63% · α -4.70%
$27.22
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-5.57%
call -5.57% · α -3.84%
$26.95
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+15.03%
call +15.03% · α +10.65%
$32.83
settled 3mo ago

Executive Summary

Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc., a high-growth, AI-driven managing general agent (MGA) specializing in flood insurance, filed an S-1 registration statement for a secondary offering of 8,355,615 shares of Class A common stock by selling stockholders (including entities affiliated with Bregal Sagemount and FTV Capital). The company will not receive any proceeds but intends to repurchase 835,561 shares concurrently. The filing highlights strong financial performance with $168.0M in trailing twelve-month revenue (32.2% YoY growth), $34.8M net income, and $99.5M Adjusted EBITDA, though net income declined 12.8% YoY due to elevated share-based compensation and IPO-related costs. The offering is a secondary sale by insiders, not a capital raise, and the company's dual-class structure concentrates ~84% voting power with CEO Trevor Burgess.

Key Financial Metrics

Rev Growth
+32.2%

Key Facts

  • Secondary offering of 8,355,615 shares by selling stockholders; company receives no proceeds.
  • Company to repurchase 835,561 shares from underwriters at the offering price using cash on hand and revolving credit facility.
  • TTM revenue (ended March 31, 2026) of $168.0M, up 32.2% YoY; net income of $34.8M, down 12.8% YoY.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $99.5M (59.2% margin) for TTM ended March 31, 2026, up 29.3% YoY.
  • CEO Trevor Burgess controls ~84% voting power post-offering via dual-class stock structure.
  • Selling stockholders include BSIV Hold 101, LP (Bregal Sagemount) and FTV Capital entities.
  • Underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,253,342 shares from selling stockholders.
  • Stock closed at $29.92 on May 8, 2026; offering price to be determined.
  • Company is an 'emerging growth company' and a 'controlled company' under NYSE rules.

Financial Impact

Secondary offering of ~$250M at current market price; company repurchases ~$25M in shares. No direct financial impact on company's balance sheet from the offering itself.

dilutionshare countvoting power

Risk Factors

  • Insider selling by major shareholders (Bregal Sagemount, FTV Capital) could pressure stock price.
  • Dual-class structure concentrates voting control with CEO, limiting minority shareholder influence.
  • Net income declined 12.8% YoY due to elevated non-cash share-based compensation and IPO costs.
  • Company has negative book value ($213M deficit) due to historical dividend payments financed by debt.
  • Reliance on NFIP market dynamics and potential regulatory changes in flood insurance.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
Analyst Consensus
76% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-1 Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-033573
Exhibit: exhibit11-sx1.htm0001628280-26-033573
Exhibit: exhibit51-sx1.htm0001628280-26-033573
Exhibit: exhibit232-sx1.htm0001628280-26-033573
Document: neptunefloodfees.htm0001628280-26-033573
Document: 0001628280-26-033573-index-headers.html0001628280-26-033573
Document: 0001628280-26-033573-index.html0001628280-26-033573
Document: 0001628280-26-033573.txt0001628280-26-033573
10 reports for NP
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +10.17%Jul 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$28.39awaiting T+5—$29.26 (+3.06%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$31.63 $31.17▲ +1.45%▲ +3.48%$29.26 (+7.49%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$31.66 $32.83▼ −3.70%▼ −0.07%$29.26 (+7.58%)
May 19, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$27.78 $27.91▼ −0.47%▲ +1.33%$29.26 (−5.33%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$28.00 $27.87▲ +0.46%▲ +1.43%$29.26 (−4.50%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$27.46 $27.27▲ +0.69%▼ −0.03%$29.26 (−6.55%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
S-1
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$28.54 $27.22▼ −4.63%▼ −4.70%$29.26 (+2.52%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.54 $27.22▼ −4.63%▼ −4.70%$29.26 (+2.52%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$27.18 $25.91▼ −4.67%▼ −6.15%$29.26 (+7.65%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$27.66 $26.81▼ −3.07%▼ −3.63%$29.26 (+5.78%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published May 11, 2026