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8-K ·Filed Apr 22, 2026

NP

Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed6mo ago SEC0001628280-26-026558
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The stock may react positively to the raised guidance and buyback, but the large SBC expense warrants scrutiny. Monitor Q2 for normalization of expenses and execution on the raised outlook.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
NP ▲ +16.23% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +16.23% · α vs SPY +11.21% · entry $27.18 → $31.59
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.36%
call -1.36% · α -2.15%
$26.81
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-4.67%
call -4.67% · α -6.15%
$25.91
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+2.21%
call +2.21% · α -2.43%
$27.78
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+16.23%
call +16.23% · α +11.21%
$31.59
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Neptune Insurance reported mixed Q1 2026 results: strong revenue growth and raised guidance offset by a 26% YoY net income decline and a large $6.9M stock-based compensation expense. The company also announced a $100M share buyback program.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.05
est $0.05 · 0.0%
Revenue
$37.8M
est $37.2M · +1.6% · +28.8% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$195M
raised

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue grew 28.8% YoY to $37.8M, beating consensus of $37.2M
  • Net income declined 26.1% YoY to $7.3M, driven by $6.9M in stock-based compensation
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 26.0% YoY to $21.6M
  • Company raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $195M from $189M
  • Board approved $100M share repurchase program

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by $0.6M, net income missed due to one-time $6.9M expense, full-year guidance raised by $6M

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAguidancedilution

Risk Factors

  • High stock-based compensation ($6.9M) is dilutive and unsustainable
  • Net income decline despite revenue growth raises margin concerns
  • Buyback may be offset by dilution from equity grants

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-026558
Document: np-2026q1earningspresent.htm0001628280-26-026558
Document: np-20260422.htm0001628280-26-026558
Document: 0001628280-26-026558-index-headers.html0001628280-26-026558
Document: 0001628280-26-026558-index.html0001628280-26-026558
Document: 0001628280-26-026558.txt0001628280-26-026558
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-026558
10 reports for NP
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +10.17%Jul 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$28.39awaiting T+5—$29.47 (+3.80%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$31.63 $31.17▲ +1.45%▲ +3.48%$29.47 (+6.83%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$31.66 $32.83▼ −3.70%▼ −0.07%$29.47 (+6.92%)
May 19, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$27.78 $27.91▼ −0.47%▲ +1.33%$29.47 (−6.08%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$28.00 $27.87▲ +0.46%▲ +1.43%$29.47 (−5.25%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$27.46 $27.27▲ +0.69%▼ −0.03%$29.47 (−7.32%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
S-1
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$28.54 $27.22▼ −4.63%▼ −4.70%$29.47 (+3.26%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.54 $27.22▼ −4.63%▼ −4.70%$29.47 (+3.26%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$27.18 $25.91▼ −4.67%▼ −6.15%$29.47 (+8.43%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$27.66 $26.81▼ −3.07%▼ −3.63%$29.47 (+6.54%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Apr 22, 2026