SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Sep 2, 2026

NOTE

FiscalNote Holdings, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-380190
8-K material event: Items 1.01, 2.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor the earnout milestones at September 30 and December 31, 2026 for potential upside. Track core policy business revenue growth and debt reduction progress; further asset sales or refinancing may be needed given the still-elevated debt load.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
NOTE ▲ 0.00% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call 0.00% · α vs SPY +1.19% · entry $0.5310 → $0.5310
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Latest observation: T+23 -73.48% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 2, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.39%
$0.5310
settled 8w ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +1.15%
$0.5310
settled 7w ago
T+20d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +1.19%
$0.5310
settled 26d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 4w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

FiscalNote completed the sale of its FrontierView market intelligence business to Oxford Economics USA for a base purchase price of $7.0 million (net cash proceeds of ~$6.4 million after adjustments) plus up to $3.0 million in earnout consideration tied to ARR targets. Proceeds were used to prepay $4.95 million of term loans under the MGG Investment Group facility. The company updated FY2026 guidance to reflect the removal of FrontierView, now expecting revenue of $74-$76 million and adjusted EBITDA of $8-$10 million, with its core policy business outlook unchanged.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$7.0M
Deal Type
acquisition

Key Facts

  • Base purchase price of $7.0 million for Frontier Strategy Group, LLC (FrontierView); net cash proceeds of ~$6.4 million after working capital and expense adjustments
  • Potential earnout of up to $3.0 million based on ARR thresholds at September 30, 2026 ($5.51M) and December 31, 2026 ($5.37M)
  • $4.95 million of term loan principal and $0.05 million accrued interest prepaid using sale proceeds
  • $1.0 million of closing cash placed into escrow for post-closing adjustments and indemnification
  • Updated FY2026 guidance: revenue $74-$76 million, adjusted EBITDA $8-$10 million (core policy business outlook unchanged)
  • Pro forma 2025 revenue declined from $95.4M to $83.8M after removing previously sold businesses and FrontierView; further decline implied by FY2026 guidance

Financial Impact

Debt reduction of $5.0 million (principal + interest) against total pro forma long-term debt of ~$114.3M; removal of FrontierView's ~$7.5M annual revenue; non-cash loss on disposal of $1.445M recorded

revenuedebtadjusted EBITDAgoodwill

Risk Factors

  • Earnout may not be achieved if ARR targets are missed
  • Core policy business may fail to grow as expected, leading to further revenue declines
  • High leverage remains with pro forma current debt maturities of ~$101.9M and negative equity of -$1.8M

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Services-Business Services, NEC
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-380190
Document: d111500dex992.htm0001193125-26-380190
Document: d111500d8k.htm0001193125-26-380190
Document: d111500dex991.htm0001193125-26-380190
Document: 0001193125-26-380190-index-headers.html0001193125-26-380190
Document: 0001193125-26-380190-index.html0001193125-26-380190
Document: 0001193125-26-380190.txt0001193125-26-380190
5 reports for NOTE
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +76.88%Jun 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NOTE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.5310 $0.5310· 0.00%▲ +1.19%$0.0120 (−97.74%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.0670 $0.0460▲ +31.34%▲ +30.28%$0.0120 (+82.09%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.1270 $0.1200▼ −5.51%▼ −5.25%$0.0120 (−90.55%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1180 $0.1103▲ +6.53%▲ +7.05%$0.0120 (+89.83%)
Jun 16, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1730 $0.0859▲ +50.35%▲ +51.92%$0.0120 (+93.06%)
Showing 5 of 5

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 59m)

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Report published Sep 2, 2026