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EFFECT ·Filed Jun 16, 2026

NNVC

NANOVIRICIDES, INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001997
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor whether the $50M universal shelf registration becomes effective, which would represent a significant dilution overhang relative to the $32M market cap. The resale registration alone is unlikely to drive near-term price action given the out-of-the-money warrants.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
NNVC ▼ -25.00% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -25.00% · α vs SPY -26.86% · entry $1.36 → $1.02
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.47%
call -1.47% · α -0.22%
$1.34
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-3.68%
call -3.68% · α -1.44%
$1.31
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+30.15%
call +30.15% · α +29.95%
$1.77
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-25.00%
call -25.00% · α -26.86%
$1.02
settled 7w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

NanoViricides' resale registration statement (S-3) for 1,333,334 shares underlying warrants held by Orca Capital AG became effective on June 15, 2026. The warrants are exercisable at $1.75 per share, currently out of the money (stock at $1.37), making near-term exercise unlikely. The company receives no proceeds from the resale, and this effectiveness does not alter its precarious financial position (no revenue, going concern). A separate $50M universal shelf registration filed on June 5 remains pending, representing a larger potential dilution overhang.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness of S-3 (File No. 333-296550) for resale of 1,333,334 shares by selling stockholder Orca Capital AG
  • Warrants exercisable at $1.75 per share; current stock price $1.37 — out of the money
  • Company will not receive any proceeds from resale; could receive up to ~$2.33M if warrants exercised for cash
  • Separate $50M universal shelf S-3 filed June 5, 2026 remains pending — not yet effective
  • Clinical-stage biotech with no revenue and auditor's going-concern qualification; market cap ~$32M

Financial Impact

No immediate financial impact; potential $2.33M cash inflow if warrants exercised, but unlikely given out-of-the-money strike. Larger $50M shelf pending.

dilutioncash

Risk Factors

  • Potential dilution if warrants are exercised (1.33M shares, ~5.7% of outstanding)
  • Larger dilution risk from pending $50M shelf registration if it becomes effective
  • Going-concern risk remains; no revenue and limited cash runway

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001997
Document: 9999999995-26-001997-index.html9999999995-26-001997
Document: 9999999995-26-001997.txt9999999995-26-001997
9 reports for NNVC
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +18.18%Jun 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NNVC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.51awaiting T+60—$1.46 (−3.64%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
DEF 14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.31awaiting T+60—$1.46 (+11.07%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.54 $1.48▲ +3.90%▲ +7.95%$1.46 (+5.52%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.54 $1.48▼ −3.90%▼ −7.95%$1.46 (−5.52%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.37 $1.51▼ −10.22%▼ −6.60%$1.46 (−6.20%)
Jun 16, 2026
19w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.36 $1.02▼ −25.00%▼ −26.86%$1.46 (+6.99%)
Jun 15, 2026
19w ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.36 $1.02▼ −25.00%▼ −26.86%$1.46 (+6.99%)
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.43 $1.17▲ +18.18%▲ +21.69%$1.46 (−1.75%)
May 18, 2026
23w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.51 $1.37▲ +9.27%▲ +14.12%$1.46 (+3.64%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 16, 2026