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8-K ·Filed May 7, 2026

NNI

NELNET INC
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001258602-26-000032
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The significant EPS and revenue miss, driven by a sharp rise in loan loss provisions, will likely pressure the stock. Monitor future quarters for credit quality trends and whether the provision spike normalizes as the acquired portfolio seasons.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
NNI ▲ +11.21% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -11.21% · α vs SPY -6.37% · entry $122.38 → $136.10
Entry = T+0 close
May 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.11%
call -0.11% · α +0.12%
$122.52
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+2.73%
call -2.73% · α -1.27%
$125.72
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+5.43%
call -5.43% · α -5.41%
$129.03
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+11.21%
call -11.21% · α -6.37%
$136.10
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Nelnet reported Q1 2026 GAAP EPS of $1.97 ($1.94 non-GAAP), missing consensus of $2.66 by 27%, and revenue of $419M missed $444M. Net income fell 14% YoY to $71.1M, pressured by a $53.2M provision for loan losses (up from $15.3M) and investment losses. No guidance was provided.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.94
est $2.66 · -27.1%
Revenue
$419.1M
est $444.0M · -5.6% · +5.2% YoY
Rating
strong miss

Key Facts

  • Non-GAAP EPS $1.94 vs consensus $2.66 (miss of 27%)
  • Revenue $419M vs consensus $444M (miss of 5.6%)
  • GAAP EPS $1.97 vs $2.26 a year ago
  • Provision for loan losses surged to $53.2M from $15.3M
  • AGM acquired $3.34B of loans in Q1, driving provision growth
  • Net interest income rose to $101.6M from $82.7M YoY
  • Dividend maintained at $0.33 per share

Financial Impact

EPS miss of 27% and revenue miss of 5.6%; provision increase of $37.9M YoY

epsrevenuenet incomeprovision for loan losses

Risk Factors

  • Further deterioration in consumer credit could increase provisions
  • FFELP portfolio runoff continues, pressuring net interest income
  • Investment losses from marketable securities and solar partnerships may recur

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Personal Credit Institutions
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001258602-26-000032
Document: nni-20260507.htm0001258602-26-000032
Document: 0001258602-26-000032-index-headers.html0001258602-26-000032
Document: 0001258602-26-000032-index.html0001258602-26-000032
Document: 0001258602-26-000032.txt0001258602-26-000032
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001258602-26-000032
7 reports for NNI
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for NNI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$124.32 $126.93▲ +2.10%▲ +2.24%$122.91 (−1.13%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$131.46 $127.79▲ +2.79%▲ +3.19%$122.91 (+6.50%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$135.69 $134.85▼ −0.62%▼ −4.24%$122.91 (−9.42%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$134.28awaiting T+5—$122.91 (−8.47%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$122.38 $125.72▼ −2.73%▼ −1.27%$122.91 (−0.43%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$141.10 $141.70▲ +0.43%▼ −1.02%$122.91 (−12.89%)
Apr 1, 2026
29w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$129.45 $132.29▲ +2.19%▼ −1.41%$122.91 (−5.05%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

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Report published May 7, 2026