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424B4 ·Filed Sep 30, 2026

NIVF

NewGenIvf Group Ltd
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonimmediate Processed26d 20h ago SEC0001213900-26-104917
Prospectus supplement
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

This offering is a distress signal — the company is selling equity at a ~80% discount to market with no minimum, raising only ~$1M net. The massive dilution (pro forma share count up to 20.6M from 2.8M) will crush the stock. Monitor for Nasdaq delisting risk (offering price below $1.00 bid price rule) and further convertible note restructurings or additional reverse splits. The company's rapid transformation into digital assets (Solana, K25.ai) and UAE real estate is a separate high-risk bet that does not offset the core business decline.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+5d
NIVF ▼ -36.90% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +36.90% · α vs SPY +38.82% · entry $5.38 → $3.39
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+17 +20.56% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-39.88%
call +39.88% · α +40.06%
$3.23
settled 26d ago
T+5d
-36.90%
call +36.90% · α +38.82%
$3.39
settled 20d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Executive Summary

NewGenIvf Group Ltd has priced a deeply dilutive best-efforts offering of 125,000 Class A Ordinary Shares at $0.07/share (a 79.70% discount to the $0.3448 closing price) and 17,732,143 Pre-Funded Warrants at $0.06999 each, for total gross proceeds of $1.25M. The offering is structured as a best-efforts deal with no minimum, closing on September 30, 2026. The massive dilution (the pro forma share count jumps from ~2.8M to ~20.6M shares if warrants are exercised) and the extreme discount signal severe financial distress, with the company explicitly disclosing going-concern risk, only $758,621 in cash as of Dec 2025, and $9.1M in outstanding convertible notes. This is a last-resort capital raise that will crush existing holders.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$125.0K
Lock-up
60 days
Underwriters
Aegis Capital Corp.

Key Facts

  • Offering: 125,000 Class A shares at $0.07/share (79.70% discount to $0.3448 close) + 17,732,143 Pre-Funded Warrants at $0.06999 each
  • Total gross proceeds: $1,250,000; net proceeds ~$1,050,000 after $200,000 in fees/expenses
  • Pro forma shares outstanding: 2,901,980 Class A (or 20,634,123 if all Pre-Funded Warrants exercised) vs 2,776,980 Class A pre-offering
  • Best-efforts offering with no minimum — actual proceeds may be substantially less
  • Revenue declined 13% YoY to $4.73M in FY2025; net income of $9.73M driven by a $21.65M non-cash bargain purchase gain on Nodexus/MicroSort acquisitions
  • Cash and cash equivalents: $758,621 as of Dec 31, 2025; going-concern risk explicitly disclosed
  • Outstanding convertible promissory notes: $9,145,581 as of Sep 28, 2026; outstanding payments of $6,262,500 for K25.ai equity investment
  • Eight reverse stock splits executed since Feb 2025; last closing price $0.3448; offering price of $0.07 is below Nasdaq minimum-bid-price floor
  • Placement agent: Aegis Capital Corp.; 8% cash fee ($100,000); 60-day lock-up for directors/officers; 60-day company standstill
  • Proceeds to be used for K25.ai investment, debt restructuring, working capital, and general corporate purposes

Financial Impact

Massive dilution: existing shareholders face a decrease in pro forma net tangible book value of $170.63 per share (from $170.94 to $0.31), while new investors gain $0.24 per share. The offering raises at most $1.25M gross, a trivial amount relative to the company's $26.6M equity base and $9.1M debt load.

dilutionshare pricecash positiondebt

Risk Factors

  • Nasdaq delisting risk (offering price of $0.07 is below $1.00 minimum bid price; company has already used multiple reverse splits in prior 2 years, triggering immediate delisting under amended Rule 5810(c)(3)(A)(iv))
  • Going-concern risk: only $758,621 cash vs $9.1M convertible notes and $6.3M outstanding payments
  • Massive dilution: pro forma share count jumps from ~2.8M to ~20.6M shares if warrants exercised
  • Revenue decline: IVF treatment revenue down 28.11% YoY; gross margin collapsed from 33.6% to 20.2%
  • Regulatory risk: CEO facing criminal summons in Hong Kong for alleged surrogacy arrangement violations
  • Highly dilutive deeply discounted offering may trigger Nasdaq public interest halt/delisting

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B4 Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-104917
Document: 0001213900-26-104917-index-headers.html0001213900-26-104917
Document: 0001213900-26-104917-index.html0001213900-26-104917
Document: 0001213900-26-104917.txt0001213900-26-104917
22 reports for NIVF
Performance horizon
73% Hit rate @ T+1 8 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 11 best @ T+60▲ +98.51%Jul 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NIVF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1884 $0.1489▼ −20.97%▼ −19.79%$1.16 (+515.71%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.0811 $0.0721▲ +11.10%▲ +11.70%$1.16 (−1330.33%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.1060 $0.0811▼ −23.49%▼ −23.07%$1.16 (+994.34%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.0987 $0.1060▲ +7.40%▲ +7.64%$1.16 (+1075.28%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1100 $0.0987▲ +10.27%▲ +10.82%$1.16 (−954.55%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1680 $0.1010▲ +39.88%▲ +40.06%$1.16 (−590.48%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$5.38 $3.23▲ +39.88%▲ +40.06%$1.16 (+78.42%)
Sep 29, 2026
28d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.0720 $0.1680▼ −133.33%▼ −133.54%$1.16 (−1511.11%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.0720 $0.1680▼ −133.33%▼ −133.54%$1.16 (−1511.11%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.21 $1.18▼ −2.48%▼ −3.53%$1.16 (−4.13%)
Showing 10 of 22

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Report published Sep 30, 2026