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8-K ·Filed Jun 25, 2026

NFE

New Fortress Energy Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001749723-26-000101
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should watch for the CELBA II COD deadline of September 1, 2026 — missing it would trigger an indenture event of default. The high 12% PIK coupon and turnover provision subordinate the noteholders to roughly $425M of parent intercompany claims, diluting recovery prospects. Near-term operational milestones (PortoCem COD, winter FSRU redeployment) are key credit events to monitor alongside the broader UK restructuring plan progression.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
NFE ▲ +2326.32% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -2326.32% · α vs SPY -2320.23% · entry $0.3359 → $8.15
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 25, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.10%
call -1.10% · α +0.55%
$0.3396
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+12.56%
call -12.56% · α -9.51%
$0.3781
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+0.45%
call -0.45% · α +0.94%
$0.3374
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+2326.32%
call -2326.32% · α -2320.23%
$8.15
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

New Fortress Energy's subsidiary NFE Brazil Financing Limited issued $973.5M of 12.000% senior secured PIK notes due 2029 to refinance existing debt and fund operations, with a Turnover Agreement favoring the parent company for approximately $425M of intercompany claims. This filing follows an executive departure 8 days prior and occurs within a broader restructuring process under a Restructuring Support Agreement. The massive debt issuance at a 12% PIK rate signals severe financial distress and significant leverage increase at the subsidiary level, though the proceeds refinance near-term maturities.

Key Facts

  • NFE Brazil Financing Limited issued $973.5M aggregate principal of 12.000% Senior Secured Notes due 2029 on June 19, 2026.
  • Interest is payable in kind (PIK) at 12.00% per year, semi-annually, beginning November 15, 2026.
  • Notes mature November 15, 2029.
  • Proceeds will refinance approximately $477M of existing indebtedness, fund operations, capex, working capital, restructuring costs, and trade payables.
  • A Turnover Agreement requires NFE Brazil to ratably turn over payments to the parent for intercompany claims, with the parent's claim calculated as approximately $425M relative to the initial $973.5M notes principal.
  • Notes are secured by first-priority liens on collateral including shares, fiduciary assignments, intercompany loans, and accounts of Brazilian power and LNG project subsidiaries.
  • This filing came 8 days after a June 17, 2026 8-K disclosing stockholder approval of an amended omnibus incentive plan linked to the restructuring effective date and executive departure context.
  • The indenture includes events of default for failure to achieve CELBA II COD by September 1, 2026, or PortoCem Partial COD by December 31, 2026.
  • Market cap is $106M; 0% analyst bullish and 60% bear/sell ratings indicate extreme market skepticism.

Financial Impact

$973.5 million in new senior secured debt at 12% PIK interest; refinancing ~$477M of existing debt with proceeds; ~$425M turnover obligation to parent on ratable basis

leveragedebtinterest expensedilution

Risk Factors

  • Miss of CELBA II COD (Sept 1, 2026) or PortoCem Partial COD (Dec 31, 2026) triggers indenture event of default and potential acceleration.
  • Turnover Agreement effectively subordinates noteholder recoveries to approximately $425M of parent intercompany claims.
  • PIK interest at 12% compounds principal rapidly, increasing debt burden without cash generation.
  • Company is in active restructuring under Restructuring Support Agreement; forced equity conversion or distressed exchange possible.
  • Extreme market cap ($106M) vs. debt issuance ($973.5M) shows bond investors control the capital structure.
  • Analyst sentiment is 0% bullish with 60% sell/strong sell.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Natural Gas Distribution
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001749723-26-000101
Document: nfe-20260619.htm0001749723-26-000101
Document: 0001749723-26-000101-index-headers.html0001749723-26-000101
Document: 0001749723-26-000101-index.html0001749723-26-000101
Document: 0001749723-26-000101.txt0001749723-26-000101
14 reports for NFE
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +28.11%Oct 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NFE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.98 $3.76▲ +5.53%▲ +5.98%$3.51 (+11.86%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.32 $4.18▼ −3.24%▼ −2.96%$3.51 (−18.79%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.96 $3.98▼ −19.68%▼ −18.70%$3.51 (−29.20%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.96 $3.98▼ −19.68%▼ −18.70%$3.51 (−29.20%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.87 $4.22▲ +28.11%▲ +28.53%$3.51 (+40.24%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.57 $4.35▼ −33.79%▼ −34.95%$3.51 (−46.60%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$6.40 $6.27▼ −2.03%▼ −1.36%$3.51 (−45.19%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
SC 13D
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.82 $6.48▼ −40.11%▼ −39.09%$3.51 (−67.58%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$12.51 $6.40▼ −48.84%▼ −50.67%$3.51 (−71.96%)
Jun 25, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3359 $0.3781▼ −12.56%▼ −9.51%$3.51 (−944.39%)
Showing 10 of 14

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Report published Jun 25, 2026