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S-3 ·Filed Oct 2, 2026

NEOV

NeoVolta Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed24d 12h ago SEC0001683168-26-007586
Shelf registration — potential dilution
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The resale registration creates a persistent overhang that could pressure the stock, especially given the company's weak financial position with a $20M secured loan at 10% interest and aggressive monthly amortization payments starting December 2026. Watch for any stockholder approval request to lift the 19.99% cap on warrant exercise, which would signal imminent dilution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
NEOV ▼ -14.86% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +14.86% · α vs SPY +15.29% · entry $2.96 → $2.52
Next anchor: T+20d in 3d
Latest observation: T+14 +20.72% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 2, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.72%
call +3.72% · α +4.27%
$2.85
settled 22d ago
T+5d
-14.86%
call +14.86% · α +15.29%
$2.52
settled 18d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 3d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

NeoVolta filed an S-3 to register 1,454,545 shares of common stock for resale by lenders who received warrants in connection with a $20M loan facility closed on September 4, 2026. The warrants have a $3.30 exercise price, are 5-year term, and the resale registration creates overhang of ~2.5% of shares outstanding at the current $2.52 stock price. The company will not receive proceeds from the resale but could receive up to ~$4.8M if warrants are cash-exercised.

Key Financial Metrics

Dilution
2.46%

Key Facts

  • S-3 registers up to 1,454,545 shares for resale by Horizon Funding I LLC, Horizon Credit II LLC, and ROHO Capital Opportunity Fund LLC
  • Warrants were issued on September 4, 2026, have a $3.30 exercise price, and a 5-year term
  • Shares outstanding as of September 30, 2026: 59,013,247
  • October 1, 2026 closing price: $2.52 per share (warrants are ~31% out of the money)
  • Company will not receive proceeds from resale; would receive up to ~$4.8M if all warrants cash-exercised
  • Loan facility is $20M with 10% interest, matures March 3, 2028, secured by substantially all assets
  • Monthly amortization payments start December 4, 2026: greater of $1.25M or 7.5% of prior month's traded value, capped at $2M
  • Warrants subject to 4.9% beneficial ownership limitation and 19.99% cap allocation amount
  • Additional warrants for up to 727,273 shares may be issued if loan amounts increase

Financial Impact

Potential overhang of 1,454,545 shares (~2.5% of outstanding) registered for resale; warrants are $3.30 strike vs $2.50 stock price, so near-term cash exercise is unlikely

dilutionstock pricedebt

Risk Factors

  • Resale of registered shares could pressure stock price
  • Company has $20M secured debt at 10% interest with aggressive amortization schedule
  • Warrants are out of the money ($3.30 strike vs $2.52 stock), limiting near-term cash exercise proceeds
  • Additional 727,273 warrants may be issued if loan amounts increase

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3 Filing (Primary)0001683168-26-007586
Document: neovolta_ex107.htm0001683168-26-007586
Document: neovolta_ex0501.htm0001683168-26-007586
Document: neovolta_ex2301.htm0001683168-26-007586
Document: 0001683168-26-007586-index-headers.html0001683168-26-007586
Document: 0001683168-26-007586-index.html0001683168-26-007586
Document: 0001683168-26-007586.txt0001683168-26-007586
10 reports for NEOV
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +67.00%May 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NEOV — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.46awaiting T+20—$2.14 (−13.01%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.96awaiting T+20—$2.14 (+27.70%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$3.05awaiting T+20—$2.14 (+29.84%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.28 $2.14▲ +6.14%▲ +6.11%$2.14 (+6.14%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.40 $2.13▼ −11.06%▼ −10.64%$2.14 (−10.65%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.40 $2.13▲ +11.06%▲ +10.64%$2.14 (+10.65%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.00 $2.07▼ −3.50%▼ −6.64%$2.14 (−7.00%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.00 $2.07▲ +3.50%▲ +6.64%$2.14 (+7.00%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.56 $1.78▲ +30.47%▲ +32.59%$2.14 (+16.41%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$2.58 $1.98▼ −23.26%▼ −28.90%$2.14 (−17.05%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published Oct 2, 2026