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8-K ·Filed Oct 1, 2026

NBHC

National Bank Holdings Corp
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed25d 17h ago SEC0001104659-26-112856
8-K material event: Items 2.06
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The $46.8M charge-off concentration in franchise and healthcare loans signals potential sector-specific credit deterioration. Monitor Q3 2026 earnings for actual provision expense and any further credit migration in the loan book. The $100M buyback authorization provides a floor but does not offset the fundamental credit event.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
NBHC ▼ -0.34% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +0.34% · α vs SPY +1.50% · entry $38.06 → $37.93
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+15 -2.46% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.71%
call +0.71% · α +1.38%
$37.79
settled 25d ago
T+5d
-0.34%
call +0.34% · α +1.50%
$37.93
settled 19d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

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Executive Summary

National Bank Holdings Corp disclosed material impairments on commercial loans (primarily franchise and healthcare) totaling $46.8 million in charge-offs, plus a $4.0 million FinTech investment impairment, reducing after-tax earnings by $32M-$34M ($0.72-$0.76 per share). Simultaneously, the board authorized an additional $40.1 million share repurchase, bringing total authority to $100.0 million. The credit event dominates the filing's impact.

Key Facts

  • Material impairments on $65.0 million commercial loan portfolio, charged down to estimated $18.2 million — $46.8 million in charge-offs
  • Provision expense expected in range of $38.0 million to $40.0 million for Q3 2026
  • Additional $4.0 million impairment on a FinTech partnership investment (non-marketable securities)
  • After-tax earnings impact of $32.0 million to $34.0 million, or $0.72 to $0.76 per diluted share
  • Board authorized additional $40.1 million share repurchase, bringing total authorization to $100.0 million
  • 44,285,618 shares of Class A common stock outstanding as of September 30, 2026

Financial Impact

After-tax earnings reduction of $32M-$34M ($0.72-$0.76/share) from loan and investment impairments; provision expense of $38M-$40M

provision expensecharge-offsnon-interest incomeafter-tax earningsdiluted EPS

Risk Factors

  • Further credit deterioration in franchise and healthcare loan portfolios
  • Additional impairments on FinTech or other non-marketable investments
  • Litigation related to impaired loans could affect collateral valuations
  • Potential negative reaction from credit rating agencies on asset quality

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-112856
Document: 0001104659-26-112856-index-headers.html0001104659-26-112856
Document: 0001104659-26-112856-index.html0001104659-26-112856
Document: 0001104659-26-112856.txt0001104659-26-112856
7 reports for NBHC
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

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Reports for NBHC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$38.18 $37.74▼ −1.15%▼ −0.88%$38.82 (+1.68%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$38.06 $37.93▲ +0.34%▲ +1.50%$38.82 (−2.00%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$42.63 $43.19▲ +1.31%▼ −0.96%$38.82 (−8.94%)
Jul 21, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$43.70 $42.57▲ +2.59%▲ +0.18%$38.82 (+11.17%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$41.53 $43.05▲ +3.66%▲ +3.61%$38.82 (−6.53%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$41.53 $43.05▲ +3.66%▲ +3.61%$38.82 (−6.53%)
Apr 8, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$42.02 $41.25▼ −1.83%▼ −5.02%$38.82 (−7.62%)
Showing 7 of 7

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Report published Oct 1, 2026