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8-K ·Filed Aug 7, 2026

NATH

NATHANS FAMOUS, INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001437749-26-026426
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Revenue beat the prior year but operating income declined on beef cost inflation — no analyst consensus provided to gauge surprise. The primary price catalyst remains the Smithfield merger closing; watch for CFIUS clearance and stockholder vote updates in H2 2026. With the $102/share offer capping upside for NATH common, near-term trading likely aligns with deal-probability movements rather than quarterly operating strength.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
NATH ▲ +0.67% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call +0.67% · α vs SPY +1.07% · entry $98.01 → $98.67
Next anchor: T+60d in 6d
Latest observation: T+54 +7.66% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.42%
call -0.42% · α -0.39%
$97.60
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-1.06%
call -1.06% · α -1.46%
$96.97
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+0.67%
call +0.67% · α +1.07%
$98.67
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Nathan's Famous reported Q1 fiscal 2027 results with revenue up 15% YoY to $54.1M driven by branded product program sales (+$6.0M) and 10% higher licensing royalties, but income from operations declined to $12.7M from $12.8M as a 22% surge in beef costs squeezed branded product margins. The pending $102/share cash acquisition by Smithfield Foods at ~$450M enterprise value remains the dominant catalyst, with CFIUS clearance expected in H2 2026 — an update is provided but no material change to the deal timeline.

Key Facts

  • Q1 fiscal 2027 (13 weeks ended June 28, 2026): Revenue $54,062,000 vs $46,998,000 YoY (+15.0%)
  • Net income $8,829,000 vs $8,928,000 YoY (-1.1%); diluted EPS $2.14 vs $2.16
  • Income from operations $12,668,000 down from $12,791,000 YoY despite revenue growth
  • Branded product program revenue +20.5% to $35,039,000 driven by 8% volume and 17% ASP increases
  • Beef/beef trimming costs rose 22%, causing branded product income to fall to $1,330,000 from $2,276,000 YoY
  • License royalties increased 10% to $13,587,000, with Smithfield Foods retail/foodservice royalties up 10% to $12,617,000
  • Company-owned restaurant sales slipped to $3,951,000 from $3,986,000 YoY
  • Franchise revenue $1,074,000 vs $1,129,000; four new franchised units opened in the quarter
  • Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) $13,615,000 vs $13,531,000 YoY
  • Cash dividend of $0.50 per share paid on June 30, 2026
  • Merger with Smithfield Foods at $102.00/share (~$450M enterprise value) expected to close in H2 2026, pending CFIUS and stockholder approval

Financial Impact

Revenue $54.1M, net income $8.8M, EPS $2.14 — YoY revenue growth but net income decline; pending $450M acquisition caps near-term upside

revenueearningsoperating_marginbeef_costs

Risk Factors

  • Merger may not close by H2 2026 or at all due to CFIUS or stockholder approval conditions
  • Beef cost inflation (up 22% in Q1) could further compress branded product margins if selling prices cannot keep pace
  • Company-owned and franchise restaurant revenue trends are flat to declining

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating Places

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-026426
Document: nath20260730_8k.htm0001437749-26-026426
Document: 0001437749-26-026426-index-headers.html0001437749-26-026426
Document: 0001437749-26-026426-index.html0001437749-26-026426
Document: 0001437749-26-026426.txt0001437749-26-026426
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001437749-26-026426
9 reports for NATH
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +3.56%Jun 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NATH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$102.05awaiting T+60—$102.05 (+0.00%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
25-NSE
MIXED ★ 8/10
$102.05awaiting T+60—$102.05 (+0.00%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
8-K
MIXED ★ 9/10
$102.05awaiting T+60—$102.05 (+0.00%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$101.88awaiting T+60—$102.05 (+0.17%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$98.01awaiting T+60—$102.05 (+4.12%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
10-K/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$98.18 $101.88▲ +3.77%▲ +0.48%$102.05 (+3.94%)
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$101.47 $97.86▲ +3.56%▲ +7.37%$102.05 (−0.57%)
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$101.47 $97.86▲ +3.56%▲ +7.37%$102.05 (−0.57%)
Mar 6, 2026
33w ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$100.57 $100.99▲ +0.42%▼ −11.57%$102.05 (+1.47%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

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Report published Aug 7, 2026