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S-3 ·Filed Jun 26, 2026

NAGE

Niagen Bioscience, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001213900-26-072796
Shelf registration — potential dilution
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor daily NAGE trading volume and ATM sales disclosures in subsequent 10-Q filings; any material insider selling or sales agent updates would confirm active drawdown. The broad shelf also enables debt or hybrid issuance — watch for prospectus supplements detailing specific terms.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
NAGE ▼ -6.36% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +6.36% · α vs SPY +10.75% · entry $3.30 → $3.09
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 26, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.33%
call +3.33% · α +4.11%
$3.19
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+6.06%
call -6.06% · α -4.67%
$3.50
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-2.73%
call +2.73% · α +2.45%
$3.21
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-6.36%
call +6.36% · α +10.75%
$3.09
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Niagen Bioscience filed a universal shelf registration statement (S-3) to offer up to $125M in securities (common stock, debt, warrants, units), including an immediate $50M ATM program through Canaccord Genuity and Roth Capital Partners. The filing, combined with the company's disclosed net tangible book value of ~$76.8M and its history of negative net income (implied by accumulated deficit context), signals potential significant dilution — up to ~64% of current market cap if fully drawn — with management retaining broad discretion over proceeds.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$50.0M

Key Facts

  • Up to $125M universal shelf registration filed; includes immediate $50M ATM via Canaccord Genuity and Roth Capital Partners.
  • On June 24, 2026, the last reported sale price of NAGE common stock was $3.45 per share.
  • As of March 31, 2026, the company had net tangible book value of ~$76.8M ($0.97 per share) and 79,624,227 shares outstanding.
  • Assumed full $50M ATM draw at $3.45/sh would add ~14.5M shares (~18% dilution from current base); issuance at lower prices would increase dilution.
  • Proceeds use: working capital and general corporate purposes — no specific capital need or deployment plan disclosed.
  • Management has broad discretion; use of proceeds is not tied to any specific acquisition or operational milestone.
  • Cross-filing context includes a recent 10-Q (May 2026) that provides financial position details but does not alter the dilution impact assessment.

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of up to ~18% from the $50M ATM assuming sale at $3.45/sh; full $125M shelf draw could dilute by ~45% or more depending on pricing.

dilutionshares outstandingnet tangible book value per share

Risk Factors

  • Substantial dilution risk from ATM sales, particularly if conducted at depressed prices.
  • No specific capital need disclosed — raises concerns about management's capital allocation discipline.
  • Broader shelf allows for debt securities that could add leverage and interest burden.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3 Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-072796
Document: ea029479701ex4-4.htm0001213900-26-072796
6 reports for NAGE
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +22.48%Jul 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NAGE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 10, 2026
15w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.47 $2.69▲ +22.48%▲ +26.47%$2.44 (+29.68%)
Jul 10, 2026
15w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.39 $2.68▲ +20.94%▲ +23.58%$2.44 (+28.02%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.30 $3.09▲ +6.36%▲ +10.75%$2.44 (+26.06%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$4.19 $3.53▼ −15.75%▼ −19.58%$2.44 (−41.77%)
Mar 4, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$5.10 $3.61▼ −29.22%▼ −40.52%$2.44 (−52.16%)
Feb 26, 2026
34w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$5.18 $3.79▼ −26.83%▼ −34.58%$2.44 (−52.90%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 1h 2m

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Report published Jun 29, 2026