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6-K ·Filed May 15, 2026

MZHOF

MIZUHO FINANCIAL GROUP INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001193125-26-225225
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong earnings beat and the new ¥100 billion buyback are clear positives. The progressive dividend policy and improved capital return framework support the stock. Monitor the May 19 IR conference for further details on fiscal 2026 drivers and any updates on cross-shareholding reduction plans.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MZHOF ▲ +26.02% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +26.02% · α vs SPY +21.51% · entry $42.85 → $54.00
Entry = T+0 close
May 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.80%
call +2.80% · α +2.86%
$44.05
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+10.41%
call +10.41% · α +9.45%
$47.31
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+14.98%
call +14.98% · α +12.86%
$49.27
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+26.02%
call +26.02% · α +21.51%
$54.00
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Mizuho Financial Group reported strong fiscal 2025 results (year ended March 31, 2026), with Profit Attributable to Owners of Parent surging 41.0% YoY to ¥1,248.6 billion, driven by higher fee income, yen depreciation, and gains from stock sales. The company announced a new ¥100 billion share buyback (up to 25 million shares) and a progressive dividend increase to ¥150 per share for fiscal 2026. Guidance for fiscal 2026 calls for a further 4.1% increase in profit to ¥1,300.0 billion.

Key Facts

  • Profit Attributable to Owners of Parent for fiscal 2025 was ¥1,248.6 billion, up 41.0% YoY from ¥885.4 billion.
  • Ordinary Profits rose 34.6% YoY to ¥1,573.2 billion.
  • EPS increased to ¥502.92 from ¥350.20 in the prior year.
  • Consolidated Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio (Basel III finalization basis) was 9.9%, at the lower end of the 9-10% target range.
  • Annual dividend increased to ¥145.0 per share for fiscal 2025, with a forecast of ¥150.0 for fiscal 2026.
  • Board authorized a new share buyback of up to ¥100 billion (up to 25 million shares) from May 18 to August 31, 2026, with cancellation scheduled for September 24, 2026.
  • Fiscal 2026 guidance: Profit Attributable to Owners of Parent of ¥1,300.0 billion, up 4.1% YoY.
  • NPL ratio improved to 0.80% from 0.97% a year ago.
  • Net gains related to stocks surged to ¥325.2 billion from ¥141.2 billion, driven by sales of cross-holding stocks.

Financial Impact

Profit Attributable to Owners of Parent increased by ¥363.2 billion YoY to ¥1,248.6 billion. Share buyback of up to ¥100 billion announced.

revenueepsprofitdividendsshare buyback

Risk Factors

  • Credit-related costs increased to ¥133.0 billion from ¥51.6 billion, reflecting forward-looking provisions and specific company costs.
  • Net cash used in operating and investing activities was substantial, reducing cash equivalents by ¥11.0 trillion.
  • Deferred hedge losses widened to ¥855.2 billion, a potential drag on future OCI.
  • Guidance for fiscal 2026 implies only 4.1% profit growth, a significant deceleration from the 41% growth in fiscal 2025.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
National Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-225225
Document: 0001193125-26-225225-index-headers.html0001193125-26-225225
Document: 0001193125-26-225225-index.html0001193125-26-225225
Document: 0001193125-26-225225.txt0001193125-26-225225
7 reports for MZHOF
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for MZHOF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.12 $51.90▲ +17.63%▲ +16.40%$47.65 (+8.00%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$43.44 $50.85▲ +17.06%▲ +15.32%$47.65 (+9.69%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$43.44 $50.85▲ +17.06%▲ +15.32%$47.65 (+9.69%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$44.48 $55.10▲ +23.88%▲ +18.87%$47.65 (+7.13%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.85 $54.00▲ +26.02%▲ +21.51%$47.65 (+11.20%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$42.85 $54.00▲ +26.02%▲ +21.51%$47.65 (+11.20%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$42.85 $54.00▲ +26.02%▲ +21.51%$47.65 (+11.20%)
Showing 7 of 7

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Report published May 15, 2026