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424B5 ·Filed May 4, 2026

MVIS

MICROVISION, INC.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001493152-26-021158
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The registration allows High Trail to sell shares into the market at any time, creating persistent overhang. Monitor for actual conversion and selling activity. The stock is trading below the conversion price ($0.63 vs $0.8819), so near-term conversion is unlikely unless the stock rallies. Watch for any forced conversion trigger if stock exceeds $2.00 for 20 consecutive days.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MVIS ▼ -63.49% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +63.49% · α vs SPY +66.23% · entry $0.6700 → $0.2446
Entry = T+0 close
May 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.49%
call +1.49% · α +2.88%
$0.6600
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+4.48%
call -4.48% · α -2.49%
$0.7000
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-38.81%
call +38.81% · α +43.76%
$0.4100
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-63.49%
call +63.49% · α +66.23%
$0.2446
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MicroVision filed a 424B5 prospectus registering up to 61,315,970 shares for resale by High Trail entities, the holders of $43 million in senior secured convertible notes due 2028. The company receives no proceeds; the registration enables potential stock sales that could significantly dilute existing shareholders and pressure the stock price, especially given the stock's recent close of $0.63 per share and the company's history of losses.

Key Facts

  • Up to 61,315,970 shares of common stock registered for resale by High Trail entities.
  • Shares are issuable upon conversion of $43 million senior secured convertible notes due 2028.
  • Company will not receive any proceeds from the resale.
  • As of April 20, 2026, there were 326,982,727 shares outstanding; full conversion would increase that to 388,298,697 shares.
  • Conversion price is $0.8819 per share; stock closed at $0.63 on April 23, 2026.
  • High Trail entities beneficially owned 17,173,390 shares (4.99%) prior to the offering.
  • Convertible notes are secured by all bank and securities accounts and include a minimum liquidity covenant of the greater of $21.5 million or 110% of outstanding principal.
  • Company incurred a loss per share of $0.35 for fiscal year 2025.
  • 52-week stock price range: $0.53 to $1.50.

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of up to 18.8% of current shares outstanding (61.3M new shares vs 327M outstanding). At $0.63/share, the registered shares represent approximately $38.6 million in potential selling pressure.

dilutionstock pricemarket capitalization

Risk Factors

  • Significant dilution if all notes are converted and shares sold.
  • Persistent selling pressure from the registered resale overhang.
  • Company has limited cash and continues to incur losses; may need additional dilutive financing.
  • Convertible notes are secured by all bank accounts; default could lead to loss of liquidity.
  • Stock price already near 52-week low; further selling could exacerbate decline.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Electronic Components, NEC
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-021158
Document: 0001493152-26-021158-index-headers.html0001493152-26-021158
Document: 0001493152-26-021158-index.html0001493152-26-021158
Document: 0001493152-26-021158.txt0001493152-26-021158
20 reports for MVIS
Performance horizon
73% Hit rate @ T+20 8 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 10 of 11 best @ T+60▲ +73.05%Jul 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MVIS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.31awaiting T+20—$1.24 (−5.34%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.66 $1.13▼ −31.93%▼ −32.13%$1.24 (−25.30%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.14 $1.53▲ +28.50%▲ +26.53%$1.24 (+42.06%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.72 $1.67▼ −55.11%▼ −54.19%$1.24 (−66.67%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2969 $0.2513▲ +15.35%▲ +18.97%$1.24 (−317.65%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$0.4000 $0.2173▼ −45.67%▼ −47.91%$1.24 (+210.00%)
Jul 7, 2026
16w ago
DEFA14A / 8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.3779 $0.2437▼ −35.52%▼ −38.68%$1.24 (+228.13%)
Jun 24, 2026
18w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3113 $0.2753▲ +11.56%▲ +12.24%$1.24 (−298.33%)
Jun 23, 2026
18w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3113 $0.2753▲ +11.56%▲ +12.24%$1.24 (−298.33%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3851 $0.3094▲ +19.66%▲ +19.65%$1.24 (−221.99%)
Showing 10 of 20

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Report published May 4, 2026