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424B5 ·Filed Jul 2, 2026

MTVA

MetaVia Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001104659-26-080305
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The ATM increase signals ongoing cash needs at a severely depressed stock price. With 88% analyst bullish consensus but a $7M market cap, the company is likely burning cash faster than expected. Monitor upcoming quarterly results for cash runway update. The existing $2.1M already sold suggests management has been aggressive in tapping this facility — expect continued selling pressure.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MTVA ▲ +12.84% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -12.84% · α vs SPY -9.27% · entry $1.48 → $1.67
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 2, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.03%
call -2.03% · α -1.15%
$1.51
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+16.89%
call -16.89% · α -15.96%
$1.73
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-2.70%
call +2.70% · α +2.29%
$1.44
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+12.84%
call -12.84% · α -9.27%
$1.67
settled 29d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MetaVia Inc. filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement to increase its ATM offering capacity from $2.3M to $4.0M. The company has already sold $2,126,303 of common stock through the ATM facility. At the current stock price of $1.45 and a market cap of ~$7M, the additional $1.87M of potential dilution represents approximately 27% of the current market cap, which is substantial and bearish for a micro-cap biotech with limited liquidity.

Key Facts

  • MetaVia increased ATM offering from $2.3M to $4.0M in common stock
  • Already sold $2,126,303 of shares under the existing ATM facility
  • Market cap is approximately $7M; remaining $1.87M capacity represents ~27% dilution of current market cap
  • Stock last traded at $1.45 per share on July 1, 2026, down sharply from $3.85 reference price in May 2026
  • Offering conducted through Ladenburg Thalmann under S-3 shelf registration
  • Company restricted by Form S-3 I.B.6 one-third public float limit per 12-month period

Financial Impact

Up to $1.87M additional dilution on a $7M market cap — approximately 27% of current equity value

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Significant dilution to existing shareholders at low stock price
  • Cash burn may accelerate without clear revenue catalyst
  • Downward price pressure from continuous ATM sales into thin liquidity

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-080305
Document: 0001104659-26-080305-index-headers.html0001104659-26-080305
Document: 0001104659-26-080305-index.html0001104659-26-080305
Document: 0001104659-26-080305.txt0001104659-26-080305
13 reports for MTVA
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for MTVA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.36awaiting T+20—$1.17 (−13.60%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.43awaiting T+20—$1.17 (−17.83%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.74 $1.46▼ −16.09%▼ −18.04%$1.17 (−32.47%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.73 $1.45▼ −16.18%▼ −18.43%$1.17 (−32.08%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.48 $1.44▲ +2.70%▲ +2.29%$1.17 (+20.61%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.89 $1.58▼ −16.40%▼ −17.85%$1.17 (−37.83%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.22 $1.51▼ −31.98%▼ −33.61%$1.17 (−47.07%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.34 $1.53▼ −54.19%▼ −52.29%$1.17 (−64.82%)
May 18, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.11 $1.65▲ +48.65%▲ +47.07%$1.17 (+5.86%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.11 $1.71▲ +54.05%▲ +51.94%$1.17 (+5.86%)
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Jul 2, 2026