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8-K ·Filed Feb 24, 2026

MTDR

Matador Resources Co
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed8mo ago SEC0001628280-26-011137
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Watch for execution of the 2026 plan that delivers production growth while reducing capex, which would validate management's efficiency claims. Monitor progress on the Hugh Brinson pipeline startup in Q3 2026, as improved natural gas pricing could provide significant incremental revenue. The midstream growth and potential combination of assets could create additional value.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MTDR ▲ +21.37% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +21.37% · α vs SPY +14.42% · entry $49.04 → $59.52
Entry = T+0 close
Feb 24, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.42%
call +0.42% · α +0.96%
$49.25
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
+9.15%
call +9.15% · α +10.25%
$53.53
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
+24.49%
call +24.49% · α +29.72%
$61.05
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+21.37%
call +21.37% · α +14.42%
$59.52
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Matador Resources reported record fourth quarter and full year 2025 results, achieving 9% reserve growth and a 173% reserve replacement ratio. The company provided 2026 guidance projecting 3% oil production growth while reducing capital expenditures by 11%, driven by improved operating efficiencies. Key catalysts include the upcoming Hugh Brinson pipeline, which will provide access to higher-priced natural gas markets, and continued midstream value realization.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$848.0M
-12.5% YoY
Adj. EPS
$0.87
GAAP: $1.55
Free Cash Flow
$69.0M

Key Facts

  • Record 2025 production of 211,290 BOE/day in Q4, up 1% sequentially and 5% YoY
  • 2026 guidance calls for 3% oil production growth to 122,000-124,000 bbl/day while reducing total capex by 11% to $1.45-$1.55B
  • Proved reserves grew 9% to 667.0 million BOE with a 173% reserve replacement ratio
  • Secured 500 MMBtu/day of firm transportation on Energy Transfer's Hugh Brinson pipeline, expected to begin service in Q3 2026
  • Midstream assets generated $332M in Adjusted EBITDA in 2025, with 2026 guidance of $360M (+8%)

Financial Impact

3% production growth with 11% capex reduction in 2026, $360M midstream EBITDA guidance

revenueepscapexproductionmargins

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Oil and Natural Gas$702.8M-21.4%
Midstream$277.9M+18.7%

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk on 2026 production and capex guidance
  • Delays in Hugh Brinson pipeline startup could defer gas pricing benefits
  • Commodity price volatility could impact hedged results

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-011137
Document: mtdr-20260224.htm0001628280-26-011137
Document: 0001628280-26-011137-index-headers.html0001628280-26-011137
Document: 0001628280-26-011137-index.html0001628280-26-011137
Document: 0001628280-26-011137.txt0001628280-26-011137
23 reports for MTDR
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 9 best @ T+20▲ +17.35%Aug 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MTDR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
4d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$56.79awaiting T+60—$59.96 (+5.58%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$53.01awaiting T+60—$59.96 (+13.11%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$58.01awaiting T+60—$59.96 (+3.36%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$53.69awaiting T+60—$59.96 (+11.68%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$52.51awaiting T+60—$59.96 (+14.19%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$50.81 $57.38▲ +12.93%▲ +9.64%$59.96 (+18.01%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$49.56 $61.18▲ +23.45%▲ +21.55%$59.96 (+20.98%)
Jun 16, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$50.40 $61.05▲ +21.13%▲ +17.98%$59.96 (+18.97%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$53.62 $59.15▲ +10.31%▲ +5.92%$59.96 (+11.82%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$53.62 $59.15▲ +10.31%▲ +5.92%$59.96 (+11.82%)
Showing 10 of 23

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Report published Feb 24, 2026